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Iran’s
Trump Card
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Iran’s
Intelligence Minister Ali Yunesi dropped a diplomatic
bombshell by confirming the presence of al-Qaeda detainees
in Iran.
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Iran’s
recent admission that it is holding members of al-Qaeda seems to
have sparked a flurry of diplomatic activity.
The
statement, made by the Islamic Republic’s Intelligence Minister
Ali Yunesi on July 23 2003, announced that Iran was holding a
“fair” number of al-Qaeda operatives that had entered Iran
shortly after the fall of the Taliban regime in neighboring
Afghanistan.
Mr.
Yunesi added that a number of the detainees had since been expelled,
while others were extradited to their countries of origin.
Speculation
is rife in the media as to the identities of the militants in
question, with some suggesting that no less a personage than Dr.
Ayman al-Zawahiri, Bin Laden’s chief lieutenant, is in Iranian
custody. Other possible names include Sulaiman Abu Ghaith, the
organization’s spokesman, Saad Bin Laden, one of Osama’s sons,
and Saif al-Adel, the Egyptian born military commander of al-Qaeda,
presumed to have taken command of operations following the death of
Egyptian Mohammed Atef in a US airstrike during the Afghan leg of
the war on terror.
Some
have noted, however, that the presence of a large number of
high-level al-Qaeda members in Iran is unlikely, particularly in the
case of Dr. al-Zawahiri. Interviewed by phone, Mr. Yasser al-Sirri,
head of the London-based Islamic Observation Center, maintains that
it is illogical to expect al-Zawhiri to turn up in Iran, given that
he had previously been denied entry in 1996, following his departure
from Sudan.
Additionally,
ideological clashes are almost inevitable, owing to the enmity often
exhibited between Iran’s dominant Shi’ism and the Salafi creed
adhered to by al-Qaeda. Al-Sirri confirms that this has, in the
past, been a source of tension between the regime and a few Egyptian
militants whose presence had been somewhat tolerated.
The
al-Qaeda detainees face expulsion, extradition to country of origin,
or prosecution in Iran, depending on a variety of factors |
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Other
members of al-Qaeda had indeed sought to settle in Iran with their
families on a personal basis, following the defeat of the Taliban in
Afghanistan, with some packing up and leaving soon thereafter, after
having had it made clear to them that their presence was unwelcome
in Iran, according to al-Sirri.
Iran,
meanwhile, has maintained a studious silence as to the names and
nationalities of its prisoners, choosing merely to state that it has
in its custody “important and less important” members of the al-Qaeda
organization, and that, for “security reasons,” it could not yet
announce their identities, and would wait until files have been
completed on the prisoners to decide their fates.
The
Iranian admission signaled a reversal of a policy of ambiguity on
the presence of al-Qaeda in Iran, and surprised many analysts for
breaking so definitively with the Islamic Republic’s earlier
statements.
Some
observers attributed the reversal to Iran’s internal upheavals,
coupled with increasing pressures being piled on by the United
States.
“Iran
is undergoing a crisis,” said Monstasser al-Zayat, an Egyptian
lawyer and activist and erstwhile acquaintance of Dr. al-Zawahiri,
in a phone interview. “It is undergoing a violent internal
struggle between the conservatives and the reformists.” As such,
Iran did not hasten to reveal the diplomatically embarrassing
presence of the al-Qaeda militants on its soil, which might have
focused attention on Iran’s relative inaction in dealing with
them, or at the very least, the inordinate delay in confirming their
presence to the international community and taking steps to
apprehend them.
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Egyptian
Saif al-Adel, ranked among the FBI’s “Most Wanted,” is
believed by some to be in Iran. |
Al-Zayat
holds that the revelation was forced upon Iran by governments
seeking to pressure and embarrass the regime politically – an
apparent reference to the US, which has long maintained that Iran
was harboring terrorists. Al-Zayat adds that the de facto situation
imposed on Iran forced it to pause and calculate potential benefits
to the scenario.
While
the New York Times reported on August 2nd that Iran was allegedly
seeking to exchange al-Qaeda militants for members of Mujahedi Khalq,
or the People’s Mujahedeen, the outlawed militant Iranian
organization that is waging a low intensity guerrilla war against
the regime, Iran denied seeking such a trade – a claim that makes
sense, according al-Zayat. “Mujahedi Khalq were broken in Iraq
with the downfall of the Iraqi Baa’th regime.” This coupled with
the recent crackdown on the organization in France means that it has
ceased to be a significant threat to Iran.
While
Iran has ruled out prospects of a trade-off with the US, some
observers suspect that al-Qaeda members might be handed over to the
US through a third country, a view held by al-Sirri.
The
al-Qaeda detainees face expulsion, extradition to country of origin,
or prosecution in Iran, depending on a variety of factors, including
but not limited to the circumstances surrounding their presence in
the Islamic Republic, and whether or not extradition treaties exist
between Iran and their countries of origin.
Iran
has in the past extradited detainees to Saudi Arabia and Yemen.
Iran
needs access to Arab security apparatuses to identify the detainees
and assess their relative worth as bargaining chips. |
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Iran’s
sudden desire to cooperate with the Arab states is also understood
to be an effort to seek an improvement in its relations with the
neighboring Arab bloc – crucial in the current situation Iran
finds itself in, under mounting pressure from the US and under the
international spotlight for its alleged nuclear weapons program.
Improved relations with the Arab regimes would give Iran a badly
needed new strategic depth, thereby complicating US policy geared
towards containing the Islamic Republic.
Both
al-Zayat and al-Sirri also suggest a more obscure ideological
motivation for Iran’s cooperation, in the sense that conservative
religious elements within the Iranian regime are pushing for better
access to Egypt in particular, in efforts to gain a better foothold
for the Jaa’fari School of jurisprudence, for which Egypt is
historically significant.
Egypt
has been specifically identified by diplomatic sources as one state
actively engaged in negotiations with Iran for the extradition of
its nationals, along with Kuwait and Saudi Arabia.
Egypt
had earlier responded to allegations that it was conducting talks
with Iran for the possible extradition of Egyptian detainees with
– predictably - strenuous denial. Reuters had in early July quoted
an official Egyptian source as categorically denying that any form
of discussions pertaining to the extradition of Egyptian nationals
in Iran were taking place.
However,
London-based Egyptian lawyer and activist Dr. Hani al-Sebai reported
to AFP Tuesday August 5 that a delegation from Egypt’s Interior
Ministry had been dispatched to Iran to identify the prisoners, as a
necessary step preceding negotiations for their return.
Such
cooperation is to Iran’s benefit, in that al-Qaeda members are
notoriously difficult to identify, owing, among other factors, to
their being trained in counter-interrogation techniques. As such,
al-Zayat says, Iran needs some sort of access to Arab security
apparatuses to allow it to identify the detainees - and consequently
assess their relative worth as bargaining chips, no doubt.
In
addition, such a step would not be unprecedented in Egyptian-Iranian
relations, as “Iran has already extradited eight Egyptians back to
Egypt in 2002,” according to al-Sirri.
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Dr.
Omar Abdul Rahman’s extradition from the US was not sought
by Egypt partly from fear of reprisal attacks by his
followers. |
Egypt’s
history in this respect is a mixed bag. While it generally seeks the
extradition of its nationals complicit in terror, it was generally
unsuccessful in the past – until 1998. The US embassy bombings in
Tanzania and Kenya spurred the US into backing Egypt’s extradition
requests, according to al-Sirri. Subsequent to those bombings, Egypt
was able to secure the extradition of its nationals from a number of
countries, perhaps most notably Albania and Azerbaijan. Al-Sirri
stresses that the extraditions were not so much diplomatic successes
for Egypt as they were a reflection of a new, more aggressive US
policy in combating terrorism, as US intelligence services realized
they stood to benefit from the interrogations of militants conducted
by the Egyptian government.
Indeed,
the extradition of the Iranian detainees to their countries of
origin may prove to be the most practical solution as far as the US
is concerned; a December 26 2002 report published in the Washington
Post detailed a US policy of legally questionable “extraordinary
renditions,” through which al-Qaeda suspects are handed over to
states with a record of brutality to facilitate the interrogation
process, free from judicial or other constraints that might hamper
questioning in the US. Egypt is one particularly favored state in
this regard, having even interrogated Saudi suspects when the US
feared the Saudi government might not be forthcoming with
potentially embarrassing confessions.
Egypt
has been identified by diplomatic sources as actively engaged in
negotiations with Iran for the extradition of its nationals. |
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In
contrast, Egypt has not sought the extradition of Dr. Omar Abdul
Rahman, the spiritual mentor of Egypt’s outlawed Al Jama’a Al
Islamiyah, from the US, where he is currently serving a life
sentence in Rochester, Colorado’s infamous Supermax facility after
being convicted under Civil War-era sedition laws in relation to the
1993 bombing of the World Trade Center. This is because the Egyptian
government realizes that were Dr. Omar to be returned to Egypt he
would most likely face a mere seven-year sentence, subject to
appeal. Additionally, it was feared that an attempt to extradite the
Sheikh would spur his followers into launching a fresh wave of
violence against the state, says al-Sirri.
Any
extradition to Egypt will doubtless raise a host of ethical and
legal issues, given Egypt’s less-than-spotless human rights record
in dealing with suspected militant Islamists – a record already in
the spotlight due to the ongoing trial of several British and
Egyptian suspected members of the banned Hizbut-Tahrir in Cairo, who
have allegedly been severely tortured during interrogation, and who
are the subject of several human rights organization reports.
At
the time of writing, the Iranian Consulate in Cairo had failed to
respond to requests for an interview or a statement.
Azizuddin
El-Kaissouni is staff writer for IslamOnline. A graduate of
the American University in Cairo, he holds a BA in Political Science
with a specialization in International Law. He frequently writes
about Muslim affairs around the world. You can reach him at azizuddin@islam-online.net.
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