CARACAS,
December 21 (IslamOnline & News Agencies) - Foreign nationals
were urged Saturday, December 21, to leave Venezuela, where fears of
violence mounted, as analysts warned Venezuela's strike may drag on
into a third week because of bungled U.S. crisis management and
myopic foreign policy.
London
suggested Britons leave the trouble-torn South American country.
Canada, Germany and the United States also issued similar
recommendations, reported Agence France-Presse (AFP).
On
Friday, December 20, the U.S. State Department ordered the departure
of non-essential embassy staff and family members from Venezuela.
The U.S. government noted that the open-ended general strike has
significantly eroded the quality of life in Venezuela.
"Resulting
conflicts have led to some deaths and injuries, and there is a
potential for further violence, the State Department said in a
travel warning.
Canada's
foreign affairs ministry issued a similar warning. "The
security situation in the country is highly volatile due to ongoing
conflict between the government and its opponents," it said.
Meanwhile,
the U.S. came under fire for its failure to handle the crisis, due
to its fixation with "preparing for an attack on Iraq".
"If
the U.S. had some adult supervision in its foreign policy, they
could have guided this thing into a constructive channel, but
instead we have this foolishness," said Robert White of the
Center for International Policy, a Washington think-tank.
The
general strike aimed at ousting President Hugo Chavez has virtually
cut off oil exports in the world's fifth-largest oil-producing
country, just as the U.S. prepares for war on Iraq, which would
likely drive up world oil prices.
"It
is hard to imagine that a great power can so mishandle an issue like
this," said White, a former U.S. Ambassador to El Salvador, AFP
reported.
White
pointed to U.S. foreign policy flip-flops, from military
intervention to early Presidential elections.
"First
we had [former State Department Assistant Secretary] Otto Reich
inviting a coup, then we have a recommendation from the U.S.
government that's clearly unconstitutional," he said, referring
to the snap elections.
A
coup in April removed Chavez for less than 48 hours. Reich gave
apparent approval of the provisional government, which lasted only a
day.
"That
did not help," said Miguel Diaz, of the Center for Strategic
and International Studies, another Washington think-tank.
"It
robbed momentum from efforts to call for early elections," he
said.
Diaz
said that street demonstrations for and against Chavez have taken
the place of dialogue. "There will be more violence before
reasonable people take charge," he said.
The
only way out, he said, is for a quick referendum on Chavez's term in
office. However, he said there is little chance of negotiating a
settlement so long as the Chavez government believes it can hang on.
"A
stable, democratic Venezuela is a much better partner and a much
more reliable supplier," said Stephen Johnson, of the
conservative Heritage Foundation.
"So
rather that opting for some kind of quick solution that put a lid on
the internal conflict, I think the U.S. should look for a long term
policy that would guarantee that Venezuela becomes a more stable
democratic society."
"This
policy has been lacking for the last 30 years," he said.
"We should have pressed for deeper democratic reforms (and) a
society with a grass roots democracy with more people
participation."
Chavez's
most formidable opponents are strikers at the state-owned oil
company, who have shut down enough installations to make gasoline
scarce.
"It's
not getting better any time soon because you've got two very
determined opponents that don't want to budge," Johnson said.
Johnson
said the way out is for early elections or for the legislature to
remove Chavez and call elections within 30 days, as the Venezuelan
constitution provides.
Chavez
Not Likely to Resign
However,
with a bible and the constitution at his side, Chavez swore in the
name of God and South American independence hero Simon Bolivar that
he will not resign.
Chavez
already invoked those symbols of his devotion when thousands of
people chanted "he's back" upon his triumphant return to
the presidential palace 47 hours after he was ousted on April 12.
His
discourse is tinged with messianic overtones, leftist rhetoric,
nationalist slogans and an almost religious cult to Bolivar. A
former paratrooper and avid baseball fan, he also likes to pepper
his lengthy speeches with sports references.
"This
is a battle between God and Satan," Chavez proclaimed recently
in reference to a strike launched on December 2 by business and
labor leaders.
Chavez
said the legacy of a tradition that goes back almost two decades,
virtually presenting himself as a reincarnation of Bolivar, whose
name he never fails to invoke in his public addresses or his
hours-long weekly radio and television show.
Mediators
Fail
Internationally
mediated negotiations have failed to ease the tension as neither
side budged from its position. On Friday, the government failed to
show up for the talks, now expected to resume Monday, December 23.
The
thousands of oil workers at the heart of the protest have pledged to
pursue the strike, even though the Supreme Court ordered them to
restart the strategic sector they paralyzed.
The
government put losses so far at a billion dollars and said only 2.8
million barrels of oil were exported in recent weeks, barely more
than the quantity Venezuela usually ships out in a day.
Ali
Rodriguez, the head the giant Petroleos de Venezuela (PDVSA) state
oil firm, said eight oil tankers were being readied to send out 3.8
million barrels of oil, notably to the United States.
By
slashing crude output, processing and shipments, the strike has hit
at the heart of the economy of the world's fifth largest oil
exporter.
The
disruption to oil exports raised concerns that the market could
tighten, particularly in the United States, which depends heavily on
supplies from Venezuela and which is preparing for a possible
conflict against Iraq.