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Bush Steps-up Anti-Arafat Rhetoric, Arafat Popularity Soars

Who’s going to have his way?

KANANASKIS, Canada, June 27 (IslamOnline & News Agencies) – While U.S. President George W. Bush stepped-up his anti-Arafat rhetoric during the G8 summit in Canada, his desire to oust Palestinian President Yasser Arafat only fuels the Palestinian leader’s popularity among his people despite Washington’s wish to the contrary, analysts warned.

Bush ramped up pressure Wednesday, June 26, on the Palestinians to dump Yasser Arafat, but that keystone of his Middle East peace plan generated little enthusiasm among assembled G8 leaders.

Bush threatened to withhold new U.S. aid from the Palestinians if they fail to shed the Palestinian Authority chairman in elections early next year, as the White House said the president had “given up hope” for Arafat to enact reforms, Agence France-Presse (AFP) reported.

“The status quo is simply unacceptable and it should be unacceptable to them,” Bush said, referring to the Palestinians, as he met with British Prime Minister Tony Blair near here on the sidelines of the G8 summit.

However, political analyst Hassan Al-Kashef told AFP that “Every time pressure is exerted on Arafat, his popularity has surged among the Palestinians.”

He was commenting on Bush’s speech Monday, June 24, that called on Palestinians to vote out their leadership “compromised by terror,” a barb directed at Arafat.

Talal Awqel, a political commentator, said Bush’s demand for “new leaders, new institutions and new security arrangements” as conditions for U.S. support for a Palestinian state that he said could emerge in three years “created a reverse effect among the Palestinians.”

“The Palestinians consider their attachment to Arafat as a challenge against what they see as undemocratic interference by the United States in their internal affairs,” Awqel said.

Palestinian criticism of their leadership, which is frequent, practically vanishes when Arafat comes under strong U.S. and Israeli pressure. When Israel surrounded Arafat’s Ramallah headquarters for five weeks this spring, Arafat’s support soared.

One Gaza student, affirming he was not a keen supporter of Arafat, said the leader”s popularity was due to his refusal to give in under pressure. “Israel’s hostility toward Arafat is because of his refusal to make more concessions and it is for this reason that we do not want him replaced,” he said, requesting anonymity.

Awqel believes Washington’s demand for a new leadership places Arafat in a difficult position. “Arafat needs to implement immediate and radical reforms in order to win the battle of political survival”, he said.

The Palestinian leadership announced Wednesday presidential and legislative elections for January 2003, in an apparent response to Bush’s demands. And fair elections will not weaken the position of Arafat nor his support among the average citizen, the analysts said.

“I don’t think any figure, even supported by Hamas, could seriously compete with Arafat. He benefits from the fact that public opinion sees him as the one Israel and the United States want sidelined,” said Abdul Karim Abu Salah, head of the law commission of the legislative council (Palestinian parliament).

International cooperation minister Nabil Shaath said on Wednesday, June 26, Arafat would run in the elections. However other senior officials said that continued U.S. and Israeli pressure on him makes it premature to discuss this.

The Palestinian leadership is also waiting for other parties, notably the European Union, Russia and the United Nations, who form part of the so-called Middle East “quartet”, to clarify their views on the Palestinian leadership.

G8 leaders gathered in Kananaskis generally echoed Bush’s frustration with the Palestinian president but stopped short of joining the call for his ouster, insisting it was up to the Palestinians to choose their own leaders.

Bush drew a muddled response from Canada, with Prime Minister Jean Chretien saying replacing Arafat “might be a good thing” after Foreign Minister Bill Graham said it was not “appropriate to say whether he is fit or unfit.”

Meeting with Bush early Wednesday, Blair did not explicitly say Arafat must go, but warned the Palestinians they should not expect progress towards an independent state unless they elect a leadership that “resists and totally rejects terrorism.”

“It’s for the Palestinians to elect the people that they choose to elect," he said. "But it's for us to say the consequences of electing people who aren't serious negotiating partners is that we can't move this forward.”

French President Jacques Chirac said it was "up to the Palestinian people, and to them alone, to choose their representatives" and called for an international conference to discuss Bush's plan.

Earlier Wednesday, Arafat threw down a challenge to Bush, calling for January elections that the Palestinian leader is likely to win and expanding on his proposed reforms.

Faced with the prospect of Arafat winning re-election, Bush warned the “free world” could withhold aid to the Palestinians unless they showed concrete progress on the reforms he has demanded.

“I can assure you we won’t be putting money into a society which is not transparent and corrupt and I suspect other countries won’t either,” he replied when asked who would judge whether the Palestinians have gone far enough.

U.S. officials hastened to explain that Bush was not referring to current humanitarian aid - such as food or housing assistance - but to potential future assistance to Palestinian institutions.

Bush said he would use “diplomatic pressure” to convince the Palestinians to abandon terrorism, but said: “I’m never ruling out military. All options are available.”

“We all have responsibilities and in this case the tool I'm using is diplomatic pressure to work with our friends and allies to convince all parties they have a responsibility to bear,” he said.

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