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Chances Of Indo-Pak War Highest Since 1971: CIA

Tensions are high on the Indo-Pakistani borders

By IOL South Asia correspondent

New Delhi, March 20 (IslamOnline): "Chances of a war between India and Pakistan are highest since 1971," said CIA Director George Tenet on Monday. He warned that a conventional war would escalate into a nuclear confrontation.
"The chance of war between these two nuclear-armed states is higher than at any point since 1971," Tenet said while testifying before the Senate Armed Services Committee with Defence Intelligence Agency Director Admiral Thomas Wilson.

"If India were to conduct large-scale offensive operations into PoK (Pakistan-occupied Kashmir), Pakistan might retaliate with strikes of its own in the belief that its nuclear deterrent would limit the scope of an Indian counter-attack," he said as reported by the official Indian news agency, PTI.

Tenet expressed concern that India and Pakistan may not have completed testing of their nuclear weapons and that they may deploy their most advanced systems without additional testing.

Currently close to a million soldiers are standing on over 1500 km-long borders between the two countries in an eyeball-to-eyeball situation in which even a small incident could spark a large scale war.

One such incident took place on February 19, 2002, when the plane of the Indian force western command chief strayed into the Pakistani airspace and was attacked by a missile which hit the aircraft.

India and Pakistan have already been involved in three wars since partition in 1947. 

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