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Roadmap or Road Kill?

The Devil in the Details

By Kareem M. Kamel
Researcher - International Relations

21/05/2003

The Jewish people began their search for freedom more than 3,000 years ago. From the struggle of the Exodus, to the miracle of the Maccabees, to the horrors of the Holocaust, to the creation of the democratic State of Israel, Jews have faced and survived many challenges… Many Jewish Americans serving in our Armed Forces who are working to rid the world of terror and bring freedom and justice to the oppressed.1

- George W. Bush on Jewish Heritage Week, 2003

The message that they [the Israelis] are getting now, is that the Rumsfeld-Richard Perle school of thought is now in charge, people who were against the Oslo peace process, people who don’t trust the Palestinians, people who feel that after what they did in Iraq, the Palestinians must go after and crack down hard on Islamists, the radicals, the terrorists… They know that Sharon has raised the required threshold to so high a level that it is unrealistic to believe any Palestinian could reach it.2

- Akiva Eldar, Ha’aretz Commentator

The US: An honest broker?

On April 30, Israel and the Palestinians were formally presented with the so-called “roadmap for peace” developed over the last few months by the United States and signed onto by Russia, the European Union and the United Nations. The group - known as the quartet - came together in August 2002 at the height of the international crisis that resulted from Israel’s re-occupation of the Palestinian cities in the West Bank and Gaza Strip, but then the US insisted on postponing the release of its final draft until the Iraq war was over. Given that the Iraq war was waged without UN consultation and against the wishes of the other quartet members, it became evident that the “roadmap” would eventually turn out to be much closer to a solo act led by the US with three backup singers who are unwilling to change the rules of the game.3

In essence, the “roadmap” can be seen as part of a US public relations campaign in the Middle East, to try to convince skeptics that the US is indeed engaged in the quest for Middle East so-called peace. The roadmap claims that it seeks reciprocal Palestinian and Israeli steps towards peace - beginning with Palestinian reform, an unconditional end to all Palestinian resistance to Israel, Israeli troop withdrawals, a freeze on settlement activity (not the dismantling of existing illegal settlements), and proceeding eventually to negotiations on an interim arrangement that would create a Palestinian state with provisional borders.


The roadmap came just after the US extended its imperial reach into the heart of the Islamic work


What is more striking is the timing of the roadmap’s release, which came just after the US managed to extend its imperial reach into the heart of the Islamic world by overthrowing the regime in Baghdad, allowing the sacking of Iraq’s cities and much of its ancient history, and devastating the civilian population of the country. The US then crowned its triumph by reminding Syria of its unbridled power through Colin Powell, who said that the US president would have “all the options on the table,” should Syria ignore US demands to stop aiding anti-Israeli Islamist groups in Lebanon and Palestine.4

Despite the ongoing Israeli carnage in the Palestinian cities, towns and villages for over 32 months, the insistence on presenting the roadmap at this exact time is no doubt intended to reflect the pro-Israeli regional power shifts of the post-Saddam Middle East of 2003. This bears striking resemblance to the 1991 Madrid Conference, which was launched only when Iraq had been defeated and the PLO was most isolated and marginalized. In short, US peace initiatives are usually invigorated at critical historical junctures when the Arab system is recovering from defeat and is in a position of exceptional weakness vis-à-vis Israel and the United States. The roadmap is no different - it is an important piece of the new Middle East puzzle being constructed in the imperial offices of Washington.

A Framework for Failure - Wrong Map for the Wrong Road

The framework for all US-instigated “peace initiatives” is always elaborated such as to guarantee that the US and Israel will be pulling the strings all the time, for it is up to both to decide if Palestinian “terror” has stopped and if the Palestinian Authority is serious enough about fighting it. As the statement made by the Council on Foreign Relations suggests: “the US administration and its Quartet partners must insist on a 100% PA effort to end violence that is unconditional and independent of actions demanded of Israel.”5


US policy has always attempted to cover up for Israeli intransigence or justify its brutal policies


In contrast to US and Israeli pressure on the Palestinians to unconditionally accept the dictates of the roadmap, US policy has always attempted to cover up for Israeli intransigence or justify its brutal policies. Despite the Israeli military’s devastation of Palestinian homes, its cold-blooded murder of tens of innocent Palestinians (including 13 in a single raid on Gaza City on May 1) since the roadmap was released and its imposition of the tightest crackdown on Palestinian travel since the uprising began, Colin Powell hailed Israeli pledges to ease Palestinian suffering as “very promising.6” A similar sentiment was expressed by Colin Powell in his last visit to Cairo, when he belittled the importance of Sharon’s refusal to explicitly accept the roadmap, saying that it made “no difference” whether Israel declared it accepted the document or not.7

Sharon’s strategy is to raise a number of divisive issues that will buy him enough time to drag discussions into the US presidential election year, when few American politicians would want Israel to make tough concessions. Examples of this strategy are his refusal to give in to US demands to freeze settlement building, in order to fulfill his long- term goal of making it impossible for the Palestinians to establish a territorially contiguous state, and his request that the Palestinians give up the right of return for their refugees.8

Abu Mazen and Arafat are frequently at odds

Whereas the Palestinian Authority fully accepted the roadmap, Sharon insisted that there would be another discussion with Washington over Israel’s 15 reservations on the published roadmap before he would submit it to his government.9 Chief among them is Israel’s insistence that the process proceed “sequentially” rather than “in parallel,” with the focus only on Palestinian steps to halt “terror” ahead of any Israeli withdrawals, settlement freezes or relaxation of the closure.

Given the presence of a Likud-minded administration in the White House, the Palestinian negotiator will be left to not only negotiate from a unique position of weakness vis-à-vis Israel, but to encounter the unjust dictates of a superpower claiming to be an “honest broker” but in reality being the staunchest supporter of Israel.

The Grand Deception - Reading Between the Lines

Despite President Bush’s claim that “there can be no peace for either side unless there is freedom for both,” the roadmap’s recommendations concerning the restructuring of the Palestinian government and security apparatus are the total antithesis of freedom and democracy. Interestingly, the six-page document allocates more than two pages for a detailed discussion of necessary Palestinian reforms and security measures in the first phase, but only half a page discusses Israeli obligations in largely ambiguous terms.


The roadmap reflects the twisted view that Palestinian resistance is the root cause of the conflict


A quick glance at the document gives the impression that it is the Palestinians who are occupying, killing and blowing up the homes of the Israelis, rather than vice versa. The document reflects the twisted view that Palestinian resistance is the root cause of the conflict, and that progress on the “security front” must precede all other aspects: “As comprehensive security performance moves forward, IDF withdraws progressively from areas occupied since September 28, 2000.”

Even if the Palestinians are able to miraculously concede to the demands of the document, they are simply promised a return to more talks on final status issues and the re-establishment of the conditions prevailing prior to their uprising - a solemn reminder that those who drafted the document remain oblivious to the epic Palestinian sacrifices which took place over the 32-month Intifada. More specifically, the Palestinians are dictated as to what kind of government to install, whom to elect, when to elect them, why to elect them, and what kind of policies to practice.10 Consider the Palestinian Authority’s new office of Prime Minister, which was created primarily because the US was interested in sidelining Arafat, rather than establishing a new post that would act as the embodiment of the collective will of the Palestinian people.11

Dahlan has come under scrutiny for his lavish spending

The new Palestinian government has not only ignored the wishes of the Palestinian public, but also the younger generation within the Fatah movement itself, and has done nothing but reshuffle the old guard - as Yasser Arafat had a hand in selecting 20 of the 24 cabinet appointments.12 In addition, no effort has been made to clean up rampant corruption and cronyism among the Palestinian elite. A case in point is Mohamed Dahlan, the new Security Affairs Minister preferred by Israel, the United States, and some Arab governments, who is known to have built a home in Gaza worth $600,000 during the Intifadah.13 In fact, leaflets continue to circulate in the West Bank detailing his extensive bank accounts and lavish lifestyle.14

More importantly, the US and Israel are interested in establishing a new security-based Palestinian government that will be “cultivated” to suit the new security requirements demanded by both countries, even if measures taken by Abu Mazen and Mohamed Dahlan would eventually lead to confrontation with Palestinian militants and heighten the risk of a Palestinian civil war. Reports suggest that Colin Powell offered the new Palestinian leadership CIA help and millions of dollars in military aid to restructure Palestinian security forces for use against resistance groups such as Al-Aqsa Martyrs, Hamas and Jihad - largely popular among the Palestinians. In addition, Egypt and the US agreed that Egyptian security forces would train their Palestinian counterparts on fighting “terrorism.”15 A few weeks earlier, a personal envoy of Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak had twisted Arafat’s arm to get him to accept the new Palestinian cabinet lead by Abu Mazen and Dahlan.16


The roadmap clearly offers Sharon the ambiguity he needs to rob the document of any meaningful sense of direction


Setting aside the recipe for a Palestinian civil war embedded in the roadmap, there are many serious problems, deficiencies, omissions and loopholes in the roadmap that would allow Israel to reproduce its brutal occupation in a multitude of different forms. While “ending occupation” is an implicit objective, the details of doing so are not clearly defined in the document. This would allow Israel at any point to claim that the occupation is over even while maintaining permanent control of huge settlement blocs throughout the West Bank and Gaza, and control of Jerusalem as Israel’s permanent capital.17 In many instances in the document, there are specific references to several UN resolutions - 242, 338, and 1397 - but none to the broader requirements of compliance with international law, or the obligations of Israel as the occupying power to implement the Geneva Conventions. Furthermore, by failing to explicitly stipulate Israel’s withdrawal to the lines of June 4, 1967, the roadmap clearly offers Sharon the ambiguity he needs to rob the document of any meaningful sense of direction, and a golden opportunity to reinterpret its essence according to his expansionist agenda, while still paying lip service to the document.18

In addition, there is no discussion of the right of return for Palestinian refugees, other than the Oslo-style deferral of the issue to the final status talks that are supposed to be convened after the potential creation of the borderless and highly elusive provisional “Palestinian state.”

Conclusions

The roadmap should not be seen as a visionary document innocently subscribing to the notion of peace between two peoples, but rather as part and parcel of America’s hegemonic designs for the Middle East after its war on Iraq and its explicit threats to Syria. Edward Said rightly noted that “America’s program for the Arab world is the same as Israel’s” and that in “the process of selling its policies in the Middle East, the US has hijacked useful words like ‘democracy’ and ‘freedom’”19 and used them as a mask to justify its imperial designs, unequivocal support for Israel, and its insistence on settling scores with the Arab and Islamic world.

Despite multiple references to the “land for peace” formula and the Arab initiative in Beirut, in its essence the new roadmap amounts to nothing more than a document legitimizing Palestinian surrender and guaranteeing that Israel’s occupation and its brutal policies remain unopposed. The sole focus of the document seems to be guaranteeing total Israeli security - first - and then a gradual establishment of some cosmetic changes to the lives of the Palestinian people, and a highly elusive Palestinian state sometime in the future, but only if the Palestinians comply fully with all Israeli and American dictates.

The logic of the roadmap begs the logical question: If Israel’s security is totally guaranteed firsthand and the Palestinian militias are disarmed, what cards would the Palestinians then have to play in their final status talks with Israel? Obviously they would enter those talks subject to the whims and desires of the Israeli military and the right-wing fantasies of its Zionist war criminals.

The roadmap is a recipe for failure since, just like Oslo, the Tenet Plan, and the Mitchell report, it makes the wrong assumptions, asks the wrong questions and is devoid of any sense of justice.

Kareem M. Kamel is an Egyptian freelance writer based in Cairo, Egypt. He has an MA in International Relations and is specialized in security studies, decision-making, nuclear politics, Middle East politics and the politics of Islam. He is currently assistant to the Political Science Department at the American University in Cairo


1- George W. Bush, “Jewish Heritage Week, 2003,” Proclamation – President of the United States of America, May 5th, 2003

2- Bradley Burston, “Roadmap or Roadblock? Betting on Abu Mazen to Lose,” Counterpunch May 2nd, 2003

3- Phyllis Bennis, “Mapping the Roadmap,” Institute of Policy Studies April 23rd, 2003

4- “US Hands Damascus Its Last Warning,” Jihad Unspun May 5th, 2003

5-Roadmap to a Permanent Two-State Solution to the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict,” Council on Foreign Relations  February 2003

6- Glenn Kessler and Molly Moore, “Sharon’s Refusal to Accept Plan Vexes Powell Trip,” Washington Post May 13th, 2003 : A12

7- Ibid.

8- Mark Lavie, “Sharon Takes Hard Line on Settlements,” Associated Press May 13th, 2003

9- Graham Usher, “Playing for Time,” Al-Ahram Weekly May 8th, 2003

10- Brendan O’Neill, “Roadmap to Nowhere,” Spiked Politics May 2nd, 2003

11- Ibid.

12- Jamal Hamad, “Abu Mazen’s Mission Impossible?,” Time.com April 29th, 2003

13- Yisrael Ne’eman, “Looking for Food,” On Target December 4th, 2001

14- Jamal Hamad, “Abu Mazen’s Mission Impossible?,” Time.com April 29th, 2003

15- “Egypt Agrees to Train Palestinian Police on Anti-terrorism,” Al-Ahram Daily May 15th, 2003 (in Arabic) : 8.

16- Bradley Burston, “Roadmap or Roadblock? Betting on Abu Mazen to Lose,” Counterpunch May 2nd, 2003

17- Phyllis Bennis, “Mapping the Roadmap,” Institute of Policy Studies April 23rd, 2003

18- Azmi Bishara, “Misleading Roads,” Jerusalem Media and CommunicationCenter

19- Edward Said, “What is Happening in the United States?” Counterpunch April 22nd, 2003

The articles posted on this page reflect solely the opinions of the authors.

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