LONDON,
February 22 (IslamOnline.net & News Agencies) – In their
incessant bid to declare
Iraq to be in material breach of U.N. demands, the U.S. and
Britain are expected to submit a fresh draft resolution to the
Security Council on Monday, February 24, a British leading newspaper
reported Saturday, February 22.
The
move will be introduced the same day U.N. chief arms inspector Hans
Blix presents a new report on Iraqi weapons inspections to the U.N.
body, said The Independent.
U.S.
President George W. Bush, in effect, hopes that Blix will come back
with a list of tasks that Iraq has allegedly refused to carry out.
"Iraq
has provided the United Nations with nothing. Private interviews with
inspectors have dried up. Iraq has insisted on a 48-hour advance
notification of the U-2 flights, making U-2 spy missions, designed to
determine what is happening, predictable," the New
York Times quoted
White House Spokesman Ari Fleischer as claiming.
The
British daily added that Bush would this weekend discuss the final
draft at his ranch in Texas with Spanish Prime Minister Jose Maria
Aznar, adding that the U.S. would like to enlist Madrid as co-sponsor
of a text making clear that Iraq has failed to exploit the so-called
last chance.
Expecting
that the U.S. and Britain to "force" a vote by mid-March,
some U.S. diplomats said it was likely to declare that Iraq was in
"further material breach" of Security Council resolution
1441, and that it should face "serious consequences."
The
new resolution, however, will not contain either benchmarks or the
British-asked explicit deadline for
Iraq to disclose its weapons and start disarming, the
New York Times quoted
U.S. administration officials as saying.
Nevertheless,
American officials acknowledged that Bush still faced an uphill battle
to secure the required nine-vote majority on the 15-member council,
and avoid a veto from France, Russia or China, the three permanent
members who want the inspectors to be given more time.
But
Bush has repeatedly stressed he would go ahead even without U.N.
sanction, relying on a "coalition of the willing" to disarm
Iraq.
Echoing
Bush, U.S. Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld declared that the
Pentagon had "ample" forces ready to move against Iraq.
"We
are at a point where if the President takes that decision, the
Department of Defense is prepared and has the capability and the
strategy to do that," he said.
On
Friday, February 21, American and British officials also worked to
settle their differences over the resolution's language while refining
it to attract the support of other Council members.
Wooing
Wavering Countries
Washington
and London decided Friday, February 21, that their strategy in the
U.N. would be to try to coax 9 of the 15 members of the Security
Council into backing their new draft to challenge France, Russia or
China to veto the will of the Council's majority, the New
York Times said.
It
takes nine votes to pass a resolution given that the United States and
Britain have only Bulgaria and Spain on their side.
The
resolution is automatically killed if any of the Security Council
permanent members, the United States, Britain, Russia, France and
China, uses its vote power.
Part
of the discussion this week, U.S. diplomats said, concerned how to win
over six wavering Council members, known informally as "the
middle six", namely Angola, Guinea, Cameroon, Mexico, Chile and
Pakistan.
They
are nonpermanent members, along with Bulgaria, Germany, Spain and
Syria.
The
six countries "are really feeling the heat, and they're going to
be feeling even more heat in coming days," said an administration
official.
"On
the other side, the French and Germans are turning up the pressure,
too."
The
strategy is to try to get Russia, France and China to acquiesce by
abstaining, perhaps under pressure, if there is a base of 9 or 10
votes in favor.
But
many in the Bush administration concede that this would be extremely
difficult.
Some
officials involved in the discussions, however, argued that a
resolution approved by a divided Security Council with those nations
holding veto power abstaining would be viewed by the world as so weak
that it might be preferable to go to war without any resolution at
all.
British
Ambassador to the U.N. Sir Jeremy Greenstock was due to meet with all
10 nonpermanent members of the Security Council on Friday.
Sir
Jeremy has told his colleagues that the Council was entering its
"endgame" phase, said one diplomat with whom Sir Jeremy had
spoken.
Nevertheless,
the diplomat noted that it would be difficult to pressure the wavering
nations into supporting the U.S.-U.K. stance on Iraq.
"People
hate Saddam Hussein. But people hate war more than they hate Saddam
Hussein," the U.S. daily quoted Greenstock as admitting.