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Updated:Tue. Mar. 21, 2006

 

Crossing Interests

War May Yet Prove to Be Howard’s Nemesis:
Ordinary Australians Disillusioned

By Lisa Sanderson
Freelance Writer – Australia

04/10/2003 

Australians believe that PM Howard deceived them over the justification for the Iraq war.

82% of respondents in a recent Sky News Internet poll were opposed to Australia sending more troops to Iraq; only 18% were in favor. This opinion reflects the growing disillusionment of many ordinary Australians with the government’s support for the Iraq war. Exaggerated intelligence reports, worsening terrorism threats, together with increased casualties of US troops and recent attacks on the UN, have all contributed to this decline in the approval of Australia’s involvement in Iraq.

Mr. John Howard, the Australian Prime Minister, whose support for American foreign policy is still strong, has taken notice of this opposition and has, accordingly, ruled out any further backing in the form of troops for Iraq, even though President Bush may request them during his upcoming October visit.

Although Mr. Howard’s popularity as Prime Minister is still high, he may regret his support for the war as yet more unpalatable truths are being unveiled about the reasons for Australia’s involvement.

The Lead-Up to War

Even though there were massive anti-war protests in all Australian capital cities in the run-up to the war, the level of support for Australian involvement was surprisingly high. A February News poll showed that 38% of people backed Australia joining the US war effort. A large majority, however – 53% – were opposed. 9% were unsure. 67% of Australians would have supported the war if the UN had backed it.

Protester’s reasons for opposing the war were wide and varied. Some were pacifists; others thought that the arguments for war were not clearly justified; some thought that a pre-emptive strike would set a bad precedent. Many were against a war that was not backed by the UN.

In spite of those protests, Mr. Howard’s commitment to joining the American action remained strong... The government sent 2000 troops to join the US action. He fiercely defended the case for war. In an address to the nation he argued, “So far from our action in Iraq increasing the terrorist threat it will, by stopping the spread of chemical and biological weapons, make it less likely that a terrorist attack will be carried out in Australia.” He also quoted intelligence reports which linked Hussein’s regime to Al-Qaeda and the Bali bombings.

Leaked Intelligence Reports

Many now wonder whether Howard’s reasons for joining the war were justified as more contrary intelligence has been revealed. No WMD have been found and evidence that they existed is scarce. In an interview with the Australian Broadcasting Corporation, former UN Chief Weapons Inspector Hans Blix stated that these weapons had been probably destroyed in 1991.

Fears that the government had given false arguments for going to war, however, increased, when Andrew Wilkie, an intelligence analyst with the Office of National Assessments, resigned in disgust. He accused the Liberal Party government of exaggerating the threat constituted by the Hussein regime. Like Hans Blix, he claimed that Iraq’s WMD program was contained. Connections between Iraq and Al-Qaeda and the Bali bombings were also lies according to Mr. Wilkie.

More reports of ‘sexed up’ intelligence claims have led to further disillusionment with Australia’s involvement in Iraq. Far from lessening the threat of terrorism, for example, a report in February by Britain’s Joint Intelligence Committee warned the Blair government that war would actually increase the risk of terrorism by Al-Qaeda.  According to the report, war would also increase the risk of WMD falling into terrorist hands. Mr. Howard, who was aware of this report, chose not to inform the Australian people of those important anti-war arguments. Instead, he only used Joint Intelligence Committee (JIC) reports which strengthened his case for war.

David Hicks – The Australian Citizen Detained in Guantanamo Bay

The case of alleged terrorist David Hicks has also created annoyance here with America’s ‘war on terrorism.’ David Hicks, the Australian citizen who was arrested in Afghanistan by the Americans and was accused of fighting for the Taliban, is one of the prisoners in Guantanamo Bay in Cuba. He was due to be tried by a military tribunal, but this has been suspended and he may remain in jail indefinitely. The Australian government refuses to bring him back to be placed on trial here on the grounds that there were no Australian anti-terrorism laws when he was caught and he cannot be prosecuted retrospectively. Many Australians feel that the government has been too weak in supporting the Bush administration in Hick’s case and lax in protecting an Australian citizen.

Conclusion

Although it was recently reported in The Sydney Morning Herald that 70% of Australians believe that Howard’s arguments for war were misleading, the Liberal government has a strong approval rating on the important issues of the economy and national security. The government is likely to win the next election because of its good record on these matters and the unpopularity of the Labor opposition. Nevertheless, distrust with Australia’s backing of the Bush administration is growing amongst ordinary Australians. Howard, who claimed that his decision to send troops was correct, may yet find that the war in Iraq has proved to be his nemesis.

Lisa Sanderson is an Australian freelance writer. Holding a BA in English Literature and a BA in Law, her articles have been published in many magazines and websites, including Alive Magazine, Internet.au, Writing Australia, Crescent Blues and Suite101. You can reach her at starshine@ozemail.com.au.


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