M. A. Muqtedar Khan
Islam Online, Washington DC
The responsibilities of statecraft and diplomacy seem
to be overwhelming to the Taliban, who have much to learn about the
dynamics of world politics and state building. They seem to be caught
between the competing demands of living up to their own rhetoric to create
an Islamic state and to act judiciously in the interests of Afghanistan.
The two forces that are tugging the Taliban can be best described as
self-interest and national interest, or what is good for the Taliban
versus what is good for Afghanistan.
At times, the Taliban
seem to act as if their primary goal was to underscore their so-called
Islamic identity at any cost. This was the reason why they refused to
handover Osama Bin Laden to the United States, or the United Nations. They
wanted to appear to be upholding the ideal of Islamic solidarity even
against the might of the United States. The recent decision to
unilaterally recognize the independence of Chechnya is another action
designed to emphasize their commitment to Muslims fighting the global
domination of imperial powers like Russia and the United States. Both
these actions will cost Afghanistan. The Bin Laden affair has already
attracted U.N. sanctions. The Chechnya recognition will probably incite
Russia into more aggressively supporting the Masood militia combating the
Taliban for control over Afghanistan.
On other occasions, they seem
to be acting as if they really are interested in advancing the national
interests of Afghanistan. Consider their recent actions. They went beyond
the call of duty to cooperate with India and help it resolve the recent
hijacking crisis. They even interceded successfully on India's behalf convincing
the hijackers to drop some of their demands. In the past, the
Taliban have made many negative comments about Iran, primarily because
most Iranians are Shi’a while Taliban practice a strict, puritanical form
of Sunni Islam (Wahhabism). But after the imposition of U.S./U.N.
sanctions, they have cut the anti-Shi’a rhetoric and are actually
appreciative of Iran's efforts to provide food and other essential
supplies cut off because of the sanctions.
The Taliban seem to be
oscillating. On one hand, they are determined to score symbolic points at
home as well as on the global stage, while on the other they realize that they
have to moderate their rhetoric in the interest of strategic gains. The
reasons for such inconsistency, even confusion, can be easily
identified. The Taliban are first and foremost overwhelmed by their
own spectacular success. They have achieved in a very short time, with
minimum action, what the celebrated Mujahideen failed to do in nearly two
decades. They also routed rather easily the famous Mujahideen who defeated the mighty Soviet Union.
This unexpected and near complete victory has
exaggerated their own self-conception as God's Soldiers on a divine
mission while exposing them to
their own inadequacies.
Driving
trucks and tanks while shooting rockets and guns from Peshawar to Kabul is
one thing; designing foreign policy and determining domestic priorities is
another. Like any political animal, they intuitively act in the interest
of self-preservation. But to do anything more requires a vision, and that
is one thing that the Taliban lack desperately. They are in charge, which
is something they did not expect. Now they are at a loss with regards to
the future of Afghanistan. The madrassas they came from taught them how
long their beards should be, but it did not train them to deliberate
on issues of governance. In the absence of a long-term vision about the
nature of the Afghan state and its place in the global scheme of things,
they are reduced to reacting to the daily crises that
emerge.
Taliban have to first identify their short-term and
long-term goals. Their short-term goal must be consolidation and their
long-term goal must be development. By consolidation, I do not refer
to the mere strengthening of their physical control over Afghan territory.
I am implying taking steps which will: 1) generate domestic support from
the people of
Afghanistan, 2) convince whoever have been supplying them
with arms and resources until now that they are independent but remain a
good investment, and 3) stop cultivating new enemies and work towards
minimizing international resistance to their de facto
sovereignty. Each
of these actions requires nimble diplomacy toward allies and
potential/active enemies, and compassionate policies over those within
their
jurisdiction.
Their
long-term goals must be geared towards providing a vision of the future of
Afghanistan that will inspire all the different ethnicities and political
groupings to work for a better Afghanistan. Hopefully, this vision will
carve out an identity for the new Afghanistan, which will not put it at
odds at home or abroad.
They need
a vision that will:
1)
Articulate a
clear strategy for political and economic development. They need to answer
questions such as what the form of their government will be? How will the
rulers and the ruled decide what is good for Afghanistan? How will the
present state channel people's political desires and their energies to
create a political structure that will facilitate good governance? What
indicators will be used to determine what is good governance (peace?
satisfaction of basic needs? welfare?). On all these issues they must
inform and consult the population through town meetings (mashwaras in
mosques perhaps).
2)
They must
design a plan for economic development. Where will the capital and
know-how to rebuild Afghanistan come from? Where will the diplomats, the
economists, the judges and the teachers needed for this project come from?
Even if they do not have any answers, it is time they started discussing
these issues.
Muqtedar Khan is a Ph.D. candidate at the Department
of Government in Georgetown University. He is the associate editor of
American Journal of Islamic & Social Sciences. For feedback, e-mail khanm@gusun.georgetown.edu
