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Analysts: The U.S. Will Strike Iraq to Save Face

Facing pressure to justify an Iraqi invasion, Rumsfeld says al-Qaeda in Baghdad-controlled Iraq

WASHINGTON, August 21 (IslamOnline & News Agencies) - The U.S. administration has invested so much political capital in the claim they will get Iraqi President Saddam Hussein, U.S. political analysts say, so Americans shall go to war, "slaughter however many thousands of Iraqis and put at risk however many young American men and women GIs because somebody doesn't want to lose face."

Richard Perle, current board member at Jewish Institute for National Security Affairs (JINSA) and Pentagon Defense Policy Board chair, the Pentagon adviser who has led the campaign to overthrow Saddam, confirmed last week that Bush's reputation was now part of the equation.

"The failure to take on Saddam after what the president [George W. Bush] said would produce such a collapse of confidence in the president that it would set back the war on terrorism," he told The New York Times.

"If Mr. Bush doesn't get rid of Saddam after all this saber rattling, he will look like the biggest wimp since - well, his father," commentator Frank Rich wrote in Times on Saturday, August 17.

Perle’s comment came in answer to former national security adviser in Bush’s father’s administration, Brent Scowcroft’s prediction last week that an attack on Iraq would seriously jeopardize the current Bush administration's "global counter-terrorism campaign."

And former Secretary of State Lawrence Eagleburger, who like Scowcroft served under the first Bush, said Sunday, August 18, that he too did not believe that "regime change" in Iraq was a legitimate policy at this stage, news agencies reported.

Meanwhile, commenting on the administration’s efforts to launch a fresh strike on Iraq, Phyllis Bennis, a fellow at the Institute for Policy Studies, said, "They have invested so much political capital in the claim that they are going to get him [Saddam] that it does become a self-fulfilling commitment."

"The real issue becomes that we would lose face. So we'll go to war, we'll slaughter however many thousands of Iraqis and put at risk however many young American men and women GIs because somebody doesn't want to lose face," she added.

In answer to growing doubts about the legitimacy of any attack on Iraq from some members within the administration and the Republican Party, U.S. Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld claimed Tuesday, August 20, that Al-Qaeda members have taken refuge in Iraq, arguing that it was "ludicrous" to believe the Baghdad government was not aware of it.

"In a vicious, repressive dictatorship that exercises near total control of its population, it's very hard to imagine that the government is not aware of what's taking place in the country," he said.

It was the second time this month that Rumsfeld has charged that Al-Qaeda members, who fled Afghanistan have gone to Iraq.

But he provided no other details on their connection, if any, to the government of Iraqi President Saddam Hussein.

"I suppose at some moment it may make sense to discuss that publicly. And it doesn't today," Rumsfeld told reporters at a Pentagon news conference.

"But what I have said is a fact, that there are Al-Qaeda in a number of locations in Iraq, and the suggestion that those people who are so attentive in denying human rights to their population aren't aware of where these folks are, or what they're doing, is ludicrous," he said.

The administration has pointed to the nexus between terrorism and so-called rogue states with weapons of mass destruction as a rationale for pre-emptive military action.

Missing so far in its case against Iraq, though, is a clear link between the Iraqi regime and either Al-Qaeda or the September 11 attacks.

Rumsfeld refused to comment on reports that a group with Al-Qaeda links has been experimenting with toxins in the Kurdish areas of northern Iraq, where Saddam exerts no authority, using barnyard animals and at least one human as guinea pigs, saying, "I have said for some time that there are Al-Qaeda in Iraq, and there are."

"They have left Afghanistan," he said in reference to Al-Qaeda. "They have left other locations. And they've landed in a variety of countries, one of which is Iraq."

A U.S. official, who spoke on condition of anonymity, said the activity in the Kurdish area by a group known as Ansar al-Islam was in an area not controlled by Baghdad.

Ansar al-Islam, which controls a handful of Iraqi Kurdish villages that abut the border with Iran on the eastern end of the U.S.-protected Kurdish safe area in northern Iraq, said the official, remains a serious concern, in part because of indications they are connected to Al-Qaeda.

Rumsfeld took pains to avoid adding fuel to a debate raging among allies and within the Republican party over the wisdom of an invasion of Iraq.

For his part, Rumsfeld, continued chiding the media for what he described as excessive focus on Iraq, saying, "Clearly, in any endeavor one would prefer to have near acclamation and support. Life is not like that generally."

"We find that leaders have to make decisions that may be close calls and that's what they do and sometimes they find that when the situation is ultimately made that the tone and the tempo changes dramatically," he said.

Asked about allied opposition to an invasion, Rumsfeld said he did not necessarily agree that there was "a notable accumulation of opposition."

"As a student of history, we all know that, in a number of periods of history, there has been almost unanimity in a certain position, and it's proved to be wrong," he said." So the fact that voices can cluster in a certain way does not mean that is necessarily the wise course or the prudent course."

"Second, I think you'll find if you look below the surface that an awful lot of the voices one hears get somewhat louder during election periods and then seem to be less noticeable after elections are over," he said.

He declined to comment on recent declarations by German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder, who faces elections, that Germany would not take part in any U.S. invasion of Iraq.

 

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