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A Break in the Making

The Future of French-American Relations

By Norman Madarasz

International Relations/Economy

06/04/2003

The French-American split over the war could mark a turning point for the future of the EU

Second only to the assault on Iraq, the diplomatic conflict pitting France against the US has seized citizens on both sides of the Atlantic. It would be foolish to claim that all or even most Americans despise France. Just as it would be simplistic to suggest that most French are anti-American. Throughout the tumult wrought by the latter’s opposition to war on Iraq, what does remain undeniable is that moral conflict always accompanies war. Among allies, seldom has its ravages been as explicit as in the French-American split.

Years ago, after Jacques Chirac was first elected president, America may have been a different place. It didn’t mean that anti-French sentiment had abated since de Gaulle’s time. Fulfilling a key campaign promise, president Chirac decided to relaunch the French nuclear weapons testing program in 1995. This unilateral, aggressive decision, which temporally suspended the comprehensive international nuclear test ban treaty, was received in the US with indignation. Boycotts were threatened. Bordeaux wines began spilling out of Cartier glasses, real or fake. French luxury goods exporters were tickled with the fear of losing their most lucrative market.

In the end Chirac stuck to his promise of limiting the program to six tests. He then strutted his Gallic-tinted grammatically-perfect English on Larry King Live, reminiscing of his youthful stint as a waiter in New Jersey. All was soon forgotten.

American television now abounds again with scenes of patriots emptying bottles of French red wine in the gutter - year and vintage unspecified. A slew of pundits has appeared on television networks lamenting France’s threat to use its veto were a second resolution passed, de facto allowing the US to attack Iraq. And radio talk shows across the nation have opened their airways to greet the most frustrated, ignorant voices of a country that long ago gave up on learning about the world, to say nothing of understanding it.

The Scapegoating of France


How could a united opposition to America’s drive to war have landed so hard atop a single nation?


Despite precedence in singling out France, a few troubling questions remain about its most recent avatar. Namely, how could a united opposition to America’s drive to war have landed so hard atop a single nation? What led to France being scapegoated in a presidential administration’s violent thirst for revenge for the Twin Towers-Pentagon bombings? These are troubling developments for, lest one forget, Jacques Chirac was the first world leader to have personally laid a wreath at Ground Zero.

France does not even lie at the source of the current diplomatic crisis. Last fall Germany led the voices of opposition to Bush’s war plans. American pundits lunged at the throat of chancellor Schroder, accusing him of electoral opportunism. He would have chosen to “ride on the discontent expressed by Germans” in his bid for re-election. Slammed for snubbing the US, the German leader was condemned for doing so by using the resources of democracy. Or in the parlay of political philosophy: by representing the people’s will.

Priorities between the people and many of its governors have clearly been at odds in this conflict. In spite of appealing to the UN prior to engaging in an invasion, the US was never able to prove to the Security Council that the reconstruction of Iraq’s arms industry threatened the US anymore than it did Europe or China. On the other hand, the risk of terrorism as a consequence of an invasion does.

France’s diplomatic perplexity took center stage during the debate. It grew in concentration until the climatic representation made by Bush in his declaration of war, in which France was single-handedly pointed out as meddling with and, worse, impeding American affairs. Experiencing tension as well in his relationship with Tony Blair, France’s president Jacques Chirac responded with a strongly worded speech in which the US was criticized for lamentably undermining the progress made in international and multilateral relations since 1945.

The relationship between the two countries has been frozen in the wake of the discord. The US has rejoined Mother-England in its millenary struggle against the Franks as it seeks to “democratize” the world. On the French side, when politicians and intellectuals aren’t shedding their tears at what has happened, those who lent their fate to the UN stand firm in insisting that the US needs the Organization for humanitarian services.

On the American side, bitterness erupts at a pinprick. When it isn’t in the hysteria of a woman paying homage at Ground Zero and tearing into French diplomacy on international television as a stab in the back.

Political or Economic Consequences?


Will the EU allow the US and Britain to rebuild Iraq alone?


What long-term consequences will follow from this discord, whether they are primarily political or economic, remains an open question. Yet at this point the damage is so clearly political that one may be led to believe again that politics is not merely a veil for economics and trade.

Before the onset of the American aggression, France controlled about 22.5 percent of Iraq’s imports. Yet, according to the CIA World Factbook, the US is cited as Iraq’s biggest export partner (46.2 percent). The intertwined relations by which international trade occurs is plain to see.

The US was never hypocritical enough to suggest that it was importing Iraqi oil primarily due to the benefits brought to the country from the Oil-for-Food program. What remains clear is that without the green bill Iraq would never have been able to buy imports from France. France has now lost its Iraq market. The question remains whether the EU, with France in its midst, will allow the US and England to rebuild Iraq alone. This is where the game of consequences is played out.

Given that France is a cornerstone of the European Union as well as a permanent member of the United Nations Security Council and NATO, these multilateral institutions are being tested like they have never been. As a member of a European Union that, since its inception, has shown little willingness to be distinct from the US trade, political and military agendas, we might be witnessing a key moment in Europe’s progression. As an editorial in France’s Le Monde recently put it, “this is where the soft spot has been hit: for neither Europe nor France at this point have a strategic counter-doctrine, nor enough forces.”

The debate taking shape in Europe is facing off partisans of strong ties with the US against those who favor greater distance especially from its military. This is why even by the end of March, the dispute between France and the US had hardly left the political arena. Speaking on France’s A2 television station on March 23, Robert Pingeon, head of the GOP in France, said that the consequences of France’s threat to veto a new UN resolution will have cost it some political influence in the world. Commercially, he could only surmise whether there would be repercussions. Pingeon went on to remind viewers that the US is home to many who take France to be a difficult ally. Its recent diplomatic effort has only confirmed their suspicions.

Colin Powell (L) and Dominique de Villepin

That the consequences are especially political is also what the French press has been mulling over. Le Monde ran a story on March 26 detailing the history of relations between Colin Powell and Dominique de Villepin, the French foreign minister. In this lengthy piece readers were reminded of the friendship formed between these ministers, and the important role played by Powell in steering his administration toward Resolution 1441. Yet despite the conflict, and Le Monde’s journalistic integrity, we learn nothing of the commercial damage that may come about from their dispute.

Although president Chirac is often portrayed at home as a multilaterialist, who stands firmly behind the UN, he is also only doing his job. The role of France’s foreign affairs is the president’s. This is a task endowed by the 1958 Constitution of la Cinquième République. A key element of that foreign policy as it extends through the European Union is commitment to creating an autonomous Palestinian state. As Dr. Dalil Bourbakeur, rector of the Mosquée de Paris, phrased it for the Financial Times, one of the things Bush needed to do was help create a Palestinian homeland “just as the president of the République suggested.”

Moreover, neither France nor the European Union has forgiven Israel or the US for allowing the destruction of the Palestinian Authority infrastructure. The airport in Gaza and the entire complex in Ramallah had largely come to fruition through EU funding. In the meantime, the best the US mainstream press can do is send out alerts on the rise of anti-Semitism in France, as if it were related in any way whatsoever to its government’s commitment to a free Palestine.


Without Europe as an export market, the US current account deficit would drill.


The French press has nonetheless vilified the Villepin-Chirac tandem, criticized as a highly charged interchange of self-simulation with little space allotted to reasoned moderation. Many also fear that Villepin is too optimistic when emphasizing that the US needs the UN and France, especially for humanitarian aid. His determined action, he told a journalist on France’s A2, has been to confront the US to its “collective political responsibility” - a sign of France’s political solidarity and friendship.

At bottom, the political repercussions may well undermine France’s leading role in the European Union, though at present this seems unlikely. France has gained clout internationally. As to the naive objection that it is only standing up for its own interests, anyone knows this to be a key part of the politician’s job. The fact remains that without Europe as an export market, the US current account deficit would drill deeper than any oil well. The country is already suffering enough from an industrial angle by remaining the world’s prime import economy.

Room for Multilateral Progress


It is the EU’s diverse populations that yearn for distance from the US.


Whether France lacks comfort in its sudden alliance with Putin’s Russia, both countries are unwilling to forsake claims on the Iraqi petroleum industry. Now tied with Venezuela as the world’s fifth largest oil producer, Russia is interested in building a pipeline from the Caspian to the Persian Gulf. France, with no domestic oil production to count on even in its overseas “departments,” has always had its eyes on securing part of the Iraqi oil supply.

As for the “war on terrorism,” French society has intermittently been torn by the scourge since the late nineteen-sixties. Its last bout is as recent as 1995. If anything, France has learnt that establishing a Palestinian State in Gaza and the West Bank is the primary gesture toward peace. It is common knowledge in France that the US helped fund bin Laden to create al-Qa’eda, while arming Saddam Hussein in his war against Iran. Precedence is not a positive sign for the future prospects of the Washington “hawks.” It is this future of violence that France wants as little as possible to give conditions to repeating in the US, let alone at home.

It is as yet impossible to predict the long-term economic consequences for France and the EU based on the current dispute, even as far as rebuilding Iraq is concerned. As for bilateral trade between the US and France, protectionist and retaliatory trade decisions are largely made out of political opportunism. As we saw in the case of steel tariffs, arbitrary imposed by Bush in 2002 and judged illegal by the WTO last week, it was carried out to please voters in conventional steel industry-heavy states.

Last Wednesday, Tony Blair made a surprising turn toward the UN. The latter has proved to be resilient after all, and France will need its resources. For were the war, terrorism and disorder to expand, and the task of conquering Iraq to grow even more difficult for the Americans, the diplomatic terms that have presided thus far in its moral conflict with France may get uglier yet.

The US could make France responsible for their setbacks. Scapegoating would become an art. In that measure, it is not only France but the entire European Union that risks suffering the burden. At any rate, it is the EU’s diverse populations that yearn for distance from the US. Yet they do so without seeking to bolster their own armed forces. Where there is no ambiguity, however, is in their determined rejection of any Anglo-American claims on unilateral action in the Middle East - whether it be in the case of a US-UK victory, or not.

Norman Madarasz is a Canadian philosopher residing in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil. With a Ph.D. from the University of Paris, he frequently writes on international North-South relations and on the political economy and culture of Brazil. He is also a regular contributor to Counterpunch and has published think pieces and philosophical research extensively. You can reach him at nmphdiol@yahoo.ca

The articles posted on this page reflect solely the opinions of the authors.

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