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The Sudanese Civil Strife: An Ecological War?

By Sara Khorshid
Freelance Journalist

14/09/2002

Although Sudan is rich in natural resources, the civil war that has been taking place there for decades is depriving the country from utilizing those resources and thus hindering the country's development.  A protracted conflict between the Muslim North and the non-Muslim South is ongoing.  The South of Sudan, represented in the Sudan's People Liberation Army (SPLA) led by Lieutenant Colonel John Garang, seeks to gain self-determination for the southerners and probably self-autonomy for the South. The representatives of Southern Sudan usually state that they are fighting to achieve dignity for the Southerners, and peace for the Sudan. However, the Sudanese civil war is, to a great extent, an ecological war. One of the primary motivations in this war is simply the control of oil reserves and the access to water resources. Actually, there is a significant link between the map of the Sudanese conflict and the map of the country's water and oil resources.

Sudan, the largest country in Africa, is notably rich in both minerals and water.  Recently and most importantly, more oil has been discovered in Sudan, and if the country is fully explored by oil geologists, it could become an oil giant in the near future that might possibly rival Saudi Arabia.

Water Resources in Sudan

Water is the primary natural resource of Sudan, which is basically supplied by the Nile River system and heavy rainfall in the South.  Nevertheless, many of the Sudanese people lack access to potable water. The country is facing a dangerous drought that might be one of the significant reasons of the ongoing civil war.  Although Sudan possesses vast water resources, those resources are not efficiently used.

One major topographical feature of Sudan is the Nile River flowing across east central Sudan.  Sudan is a meeting point of river tributaries that emanate from the Ethiopian plateau and the region of the Great lakes.  The Blue Nile with its tributaries Dinder and Rahad together with the Atbara flow from the east, annually providing some 66 milliard cubic meters (md. c.m.).  On the other hand, Bahr El Jebel commences from Lake Victoria with permanent rains, but the greater part of the runoff is lost in the Sudd area inside the Sudan, bringing some 15 md. c.m. to Malakal.  The Sobat River, which joins the Nile at Malakal, flows from the Ethiopian plateau and is fed from tributaries inside and outside the Sudan. However, about 8 md. c.m. of Sobat runoff estimated at 13 md. c.m. are lost in the Sudd areas of Sobat and Mashar.  Almost all the water flow of Bahr El Ghazal River estimated at 14 md cm is lost in the Sudd area of Bahr El Ghazal, leaving only half a md. c.m. to join the White Nile at lake No.

In addition to the Nile River, rainfall constitutes an important source of water in Sudan.  Autumn is the main rainy season, extending from May to October. The precipitation of rainfall ranges from less than 50 mm in the extreme north to more than 1500 mm in the extreme south.  Besides the River Nile and rainfall as major water suppliers, underground water supplies the Nubian sandstone.

Despite the fact that Sudan has abundant water resources acquiring the second share of the Nile's water after Egypt and enjoying heavy rainfall especially in its southern part, the North-South dispute over water constitutes a major stirrer for the Sudanese civil war.  The allocation of the water resources between North and South Sudan is clearly in the South's favor. The South is far richer in regards to the supply of water. The Northern region is simply a continuation of the Libyan Desert while the Southern region is fertile, abundantly irrigated, and in places, heavily forested.

Another important dimension of the Sudanese conflict over water is strongly related to the Egyptian-Sudanese joint project to excavate the Jonglei Canal through the swamps of the Sudd and bypass part of the Sudd region, thereby sparing some 4 md. c.m. to be divided equally between the two countries. That would divert the flow of the Nile in Southern Sudan (in the Sudd) to avoid the enormous evaporation losses that occur there.  Sudd -- the largest wetland of the world-- with its extreme rate of evaporation consumes on average more than half the waters that come down the White Nile from the equatorial lakes.  The Jonglei Canal project was initiated in order to replace the water lost behind dams and in other irrigation schemes.  According to the Sudanese authorities, it would drain the swamp and establish a North-South communications link for the Sudan. It would also send enough water downstream to finish filling Egypt's Aswan High Dam reservoir.  However, the project was hampered by the civil strife.  The Southern Sudanese rebels strongly and violently reject the Jonglei Canal project, and this is one of the most obvious points of disagreement between the government in the North and the rebels in the South. They do not want any of the Sudd water to be redirected up North away from the Southern tribes people who live in the Sudd region.

Sudan: A Would-Be Oil Giant

Sudan is rich in petroleum, small reserves of iron ore, copper, chromium ore, zinc, tungsten, mica, silver, gold, and hydropower.

Much oil was discovered in south-central Sudan in the 1970s. With the completion of a major oil export pipeline from the fields in the South to the export terminal near Port Sudan in the North in July 1999, Sudanese crude oil production and exports have risen rapidly over the past few years.  The 1,600-kilometre pipeline carries oil from the Unity State in the South of Sudan to a special port at Beshair on the Red Sea.  Sudan became an exporter of refined petroleum products in 2000, following the inauguration of the Khartoum Oil Refinery in June.  Oil export revenues now account for 70% of Sudan's total export earnings.  Thanks to the discovery of oil in the South and oil refining and exportation in the North, Sudan's economy has been showing signs of turning the corner after many years of poor performance.  Oil exploration in Sudan is still in its early stages with only 15 to 20% of the prospective areas covered.

Petroleum production is centered in the South in and around the Muglad basin.  Heglig and Unity fields are in production and recent discoveries show that there still remains much future potential of oil discovery in Southern Sudan. The fields in the Muglad area produce crude oil with a 33o to 42o API range, with only 0.5% sulfur content.  Recoverable reserves from the Heglig and Unity fields have been estimated at 660 million to 1.2 billion barrels.  The area around these two fields is also suspected to contain much oil.

The conflict between the government and the Southerners over the upper hand on the newly discovered petroleum fields in the southern part of the country has become a new feature of the Sudanese conflict. That the Sudanese regime has been able to extract oil from the South of Sudan is a serious setback for the United States-backed SPLA.  Groups affiliated or allied with the SPLA are threatening to bomb the pipeline -- without which the Southern Sudanese oil fields are useless.  Already the Southern rebels have violently attacked the pipeline several times.

Hence, the Sudanese civil war is fiercely raging on around the oil fields and over the water resources.  The southern rebels do not accept but the ultimate upper hand over the Sudanese natural resources without any kind of intervention from the Sudanese government; they are fighting for that aim and they insist on no compromise in this regard.  On the other hand, those very Southern rebels claim that their right to live with dignity is more important to them than acquiring the Sudanese natural resources. Are the Southerners going to succeed in controlling the Southern natural resources?  Or will the peace talks between the rebels in the South and the government in the North lead to cooperation between the two parties for the sake of the development of a unified Sudan?

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