CAIRO — Israel had devised a plan for attacking
Hizbullah and shared it with the Bush administration officials well
before the resistance group took prisoner two Israeli soldiers, a
veteran award-winning American investigative reporter has revealed.
"Israel began with [Vice President Dick]
Cheney. It wanted to be sure that it had his support and the support
of his office and the Middle East desk of the National Security
Council," a US government consultant with close ties to Israel
told Seymour Hersh.
Citing current and former Israeli and US
intelligence and diplomatic officials, Hersh said several Israeli
officials visited Washington earlier this summer to set the stage for
a military operation against Hizbullah.
They wanted to "get a green light for the
bombing operation and to find out how much the United States would
bear," said the consultant.
He added that after Cheney "persuading Bush
was never a problem, and Condi [Condoleezza Rice] was on board."
Hersh said the White House did not respond to a
detailed list of questions on whether it really helped plan the
Israeli military operation.
The Bush administration has staunchly opposed an
immediate ceasefire in the war unleashed by Israel on July 12, saying
that it should be put off until "the conditions are
conducive."
The US made no secret that it shipped laser-guided
bombs and cluster ammunition to Tel Aviv at an Israeli request.
Several current and former officials involved in
the Middle East told Hersh that Israel viewed the soldiers’
"kidnapping" as the opportune moment to begin its planned
military campaign against Hizbullah.
Hizbullah chief Hassan Nasrallah said in a
televised speech half through the hostilities that he came to knew
that Israel had plans to wage war on the resistance group anyway.
He said the Israeli army was forced to advance the
original deadline after Hizbullah fighters took prisoner two Israeli
soldiers and killed eight others in a cross-border operation.
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Hersh said the White House did not respond to a detailed list of questions on whether it really helped plan the Israeli military operation.
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The US government consultant with close ties to
Israel said the Bush administration thought of an Israeli bombing of
Hizbulalh as a demo for Iran.
"The Israelis told us it would be a cheap war
with many benefits," he told Hersh.
"Why oppose it? We’ll be able to hunt down
and bomb missiles, tunnels, and bunkers from the air. It would be a
demo for Iran."
A Middle East expert with knowledge of the current
thinking of both the Israeli and the US governments said the
administration saw it could hit two birds with one stone through
Israel's attack on Hizbullah.
"Bush was going after Iran, as part of the
Axis of Evil, and its nuclear sites, and he was interested in going
after Hizbullah as part of his interest in democratization, with
Lebanon as one of the crown jewels of Middle East democracy.
"The White House was more focused on stripping
Hizbullah of its missiles, because, if there was to be a military
option against Iran’s nuclear facilities, it had to get rid of the
weapons that Hizbullah could use in a potential retaliation at
Israel," he told Hersh.
Days before the start of the war, Bush described
the relationship between Hizbullah, Iran and Syria as one of the
"root causes of instability" in the region.
The military option against Iran has always been on
Bush's agenda.
A former senior intelligence official said that the
big question for Bush was how to hit a series of hard targets in Iran
successfully.
"Who is the closest ally of the US Air Force
in its planning? It’s not Congo—it’s Israel. Everybody knows
that Iranian engineers have been advising Hizbullah on tunnels and
underground gun emplacements," he said.
"And so the Air Force went to the Israelis
with some new tactics and said to them, ‘Let’s concentrate on the
bombing and share what we have on Iran and what you have on
Lebanon.’"
The former senior intelligence official added that
the discussions reached the Joint Chiefs of Staff and Secretary of
Defense Donald Rumsfeld.
A Pentagon consultant said the White House
"has been agitating for some time" to find a reason for a
pre-emptive blow against Hizbullah "to take on later on Iran.
"It was our intent to have Hizbullah
diminished, and now we have someone else doing it."
Think Twice
But Richard Armitage, who served as Deputy
Secretary of State in Bush’s first term, advises the administration
to think twice in view of the heavy losses suffered by Israel in just
one month.
"If the most dominant military force in the
region—the Israel Defense Forces—can’t pacify a country like
Lebanon, with a population of four million, you should think carefully
about taking that template to Iran, with strategic depth and a
population of seventy million," he told Hersh.
"The only thing that the bombing has achieved
so far is to unite the population against the Israelis."
A total of 110 Israeli soldiers have been killed
since the start of the war in fierce battle with well-trained and
armed Hizbullah fighters.
Twenty-four Israeli soldiers were killed on
Saturday, August 12, in the highest single-day death toll.
Over the past four weeks, Hizbullah proved a foe to
be reckoned with, inflicting heavy losses on the armed-to-the-teeth
Israeli army.
It shot down at least four Apache helicopters and
destroyed one warship, a fast-speed patrol in addition to tens of
Israel's pride Merkava tanks.
Role Model
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Israel's war tactic has failed to turn Muslims and the Lebanese against Shiite
Hizbullah. (Reuters)
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The Middle East expert and the government
consultant said that the Israelis repeatedly pointed to the war in
Kosovo as a "role model" of what Israel would try to
achieve.
In other words, Israel believed that by targeting
Lebanon’s infrastructure, including highways, fuel depots, and even
the runways at the main Beirut airport, it could persuade Lebanon’s
large Christian and Sunni populations to turn against Shiite Hizbullah.
The NATO forces commanded by US Army General Wesley
Clark bombed and strafed not only military targets but tunnels,
bridges, and roads, in Kosovo and elsewhere in Serbia, for
seventy-eight days before forcing Serbian forces to withdraw from
Kosovo.
"Israel studied the Kosovo war as its role
model," the government consultant said.
"The Israelis told Condi Rice, ‘You did it
in about seventy days, but we need half of that—thirty-five
days.'"
But the strategy proved a fiasco with Narallah
emerging as a folk hero in the Middle East with his photos widely
distributed across the Arab capitals as are Hizbullah flags.
Even those who continue to support Israel’s war
against Hizbullah agree that it is failing to achieve one of its main
goals—to rally the Lebanese against Hizbullah.
"Strategic bombing has been a failed military
concept for ninety years, and yet air forces all over the world keep
on doing it," John Arquilla, a defense analyst at the Naval
Postgraduate School, told Hersh.
This rise in the anti-Israeli feelings is
accompanied by a reinforcement of the popularity of the Lebanese
resistance movement and Nasrallah.