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"Those of us who still back
the war are worried and alarmed," said Kristol.
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CAIRO — The US strategy in Iraq has failed and
needs to be changed with President George W. Bush's "plan for
victory" being clouded by a bloody sectarian violence that could
lead the country into a deadly civil war, according to American
experts.
"Those of us who still back the war are
worried and alarmed," William Kristol, the editor of The
Weekly Standard, an early proponent of the Iraq invasion, told The
New York Times on Sunday, August 6.
"We need to win the war and if it’s not
going well we need to change strategy," he added.
Sectarian violence in Iraq has spiraled to claim
perhaps 100 lives a day with tens of thousands fleeing their homes to
escape the sectarian hell.
Last week, John Abizaid, the US general heading
Middle East operations, warned that Baghdad's descent into chaos could
sabotage efforts to rebuild a stable Iraq, more than three years after
the US invaded the oil-rich country.
The mass-circulation daily said that those two
words — civil war — complicated what was already a daunting
challenge for the Bush administration in Iraq.
It said Abizaid’s statement — which did include
an assertion that Iraq would ultimately avoid a civil war —
represented a tacit acknowledgment that there was no use spinning this
conflict and the US public relations campaign to win faltering public
support would get no where.
"The long-derided terms like 'greeted as
liberators' (Vice President Dick Cheney) and 'cakewalk' (former Reagan
arms control official Kenneth L. Adelman), as well as talk of an
insurgency in its 'last throes' (Cheney), are a thing of memory."
Mosque bombings, assassinations of scholars,
sectarian kidnappings and attacks on civilians have increased, as have
reports that Iraqi police and army units are agents of the violence,
said The New York Times.
Britain's outgoing ambassador in Baghdad warned in
a confidential memo to Prime Minister Tony Blair that civil war was
"more likely" in Iraq than a transition to stable democracy.
Senior Iraqi officials told Reuters last month that
there has been serious talk among Iraqi leaders to divide Baghdad into
Shiite and Sunni zones to stop sectarian bloodshed.
"Proxy Term"
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"‘Civil war’ is sort of a
proxy term for wars we cannot win," said Gelpi.
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Christopher F. Gelpi, a professor of political
science at Duke University, said civil war is a euphemism for defeat.
"‘Civil war’ is sort of a proxy term for
wars we cannot win," said Gelpi.
"The problem they’re facing is there’s
only so much their rhetorical strategy can do to reshape public
perceptions of the very real events that are out there, and right now
those events are very bad when thousands of Iraqis are being killed
every month," he added.
David Frum, a former speechwriter for Bush and a
longtime supporter of the war, said if the US did not change its
policy by significantly increasing troop levels, "Baghdad — and
therefore central Iraq — will in such a case slide after Basra and
the south into the unofficial new Iranian empire."
Then, he predicted, "American troops will be
free to stay or go, depending on whether we wish to deny or
acknowledge defeat."
In the latest New York Times poll, 56
percent of Americans said the US should set a timetable for
withdrawal; 33 percent said it should do so even if it means handing
Iraq over to "insurgents."
US reinforcements rolled into some of the most
violent districts of Baghdad on Sunday in a fleet of 17-tonne armored
troop carriers as part of a major push to halt Iraq's slide towards
civil war.
Units of the 172nd Stryker Brigade Combat Team
deployed in flashpoint districts in the west of the capital, which in
recent weeks has seen hundreds of civilians murdered by sectarian
death squads.
As they arrived, the blasts of two roadside bombs
echoed around the city, while security forces recovered 17 corpses
across the capital; four Iraqi soldiers and 13 civilians who had been
tortured and shot dead.