PARIS,
September 28, 2005 (IslamOnline.net & News Agencies) – The talk
with Al-Qaeda and extremists is no longer a taboo subject in the
United States with academics setting the change in tone, experts said
on Wednesday, September 28.
“The
evolution is doubtless the result of a worsening of the situation in
Iraq and Afghanistan. The lessons of the attacks in London have also
been learnt: the threat (of terrorism) can resist the formidable
security deployment,” Francois Burgat, a leading expert on the Arab
world at France's national research institute (CNRS), told Agence
France-Presse (AFP).
He
said the change in tone was “the start of a critical reassessment of
the logic of the whole security policy.”
Burgat
was commenting on a controversial Boston Globe article by
Harvard University professor and prominent expert on Al-Qaeda
Mohammad-Mahmoud Ould Mohamedou under the title “Time to Talk to Al
Qaeda?”
“With
the conflict viewed largely as an open-and-shut matter of good versus
evil, nonmilitary engagement with Al Qaeda is depicted as improper and
unnecessary,” wrote Mohamedou in the September 14 article.
“Yet
developing a strategy for the next phase of the global response to Al
Qaeda requires understanding the enemy -- something Western analysts
have systematically failed to do.”
“Truce”
Allen
Zerkin, an expert in responses to disasters at New York University,
said that governments would have to seek a truce with Al-Qaeda sooner
or later, seeing eye to eye with Mohamedou that neither side can win
the war.
“To
be sure, the terrorists can't win this war, but neither can we,” he
told AFP.
Derided
by critics as an apologist for Al-Qaeda, Mohamedou said neither side
can defeat the other.
“The
United States will not be able to overpower a diffuse, ever-mutating,
organized international militancy movement, whose struggle enjoys the
rear-guard sympathy of large numbers of Muslims. Likewise, Al-Qaeda
can score tactical victories on the United States and its allies, but
it cannot rout the world's sole superpower,” he wrote.
“No
longer able to enjoy a centralized sanctuary in Afghanistan after
2002, Al- Qaeda's leadership opted for an elastic defense strategy
relying on mobile forces, scaled-up international operations, and
expanded global tactical relationships. It encouraged the
proliferation of mini Al-Qaedas, able to act on their own within a
regional context.”
A
research by Robert Pape at Chicago University has also challenged the
commonly held belief that the motivations for terrorism are religious
fanaticism, AFP said.
Pape
said he was “surprised” to discover from the study of 463 suicide
bombings that “what over 95 percent of all suicide attacks around
the world since 1980 until today have in common is not religion, but a
clear, strategic objective: to compel a modern democracy to withdraw
military forces from the territory that the terrorists view as their
homeland.”
In
his article, Mohamedou also cited the analysis of the former head of
the “Bin Laden unit” at the CIA, Michael Scheuer, who is now a
fierce critic of the Bush administration and its “War on Terror”
policy.
During
a recent speech at the US Army War College, Scheuer said that both
militant and non-militant Muslims hated the United States “for what
we do in the Islamic world, not for our democratic beliefs and civil
liberties.”
One
of the four would-be London bombers told investigators they were
motivated by the Iraq war and not by religious fervor, denying any
link to Al-Qaeda network.
In
an obvious retreat from his earlier stance, British Prime Minister
Tony Blair recently acknowledged that the Iraq war was being used to
recruit terrorists.
The
London-based Royal Institute of International Affairs, known as
Chatham House, further said the Iraq war has given a momentum to Al-Qaeda's
recruitment and fundraising and made Britain more vulnerable to
terrorist attacks.