While
official reaction had been upbeat, skeptics had said the deal was long
on words, vague on timing and sequencing and short on action: the
North's comments made clear just how short.
"North
Korea has made agreements in the past and broken them, but we have to
take everything step by step," AFP quoted as saying Australian
Prime Minister John Howard said.
Analysts
saw a typical pattern to the North's statement.
"They
want people to give them things," said Daniel Pinkston of the
Center for Nonproliferation Studies in the United States.
"The
agreement looks good on paper but the same problems remain with
commitment, sequencing and verification."
Asian
countries also cautioned Tuesday that the joint agreement was by no
means a done deal.
"Full
of historical and current contradictions, the road ahead is by no means
smooth," warned the China Daily.
South
Korea's Joongang said the future rested on how faithfully the
countries involved observed the terms of the agreement.
The
North has in the past set seemingly impossible conditions only to
backtrack or give ground later, so its statement is not necessarily the
last word.
But
it posed a threat to a deal which less than 24 hours earlier delegates
gave a standing ovation.
Failure
to reach a deal could have prompted Washington to go to the UN Security
Council to seek sanctions. North Korea says sanctions would be
tantamount to war.
“Advanced,
Strong”
But
experts say North Korea's demand for light-water nuclear reactors is an
expensive bargaining chip that will not help it solve its chronic energy
problems soon.
"Light-water
reactors do not make sense economically for North Korea," Pinkston
said. "The symbolism matters. Having this advanced technology is
reflective of a country that is advanced and strong."
Experts
further say it would take far longer and be more costly to build
light-water reactors in North Korea than it would be to implement South
Korea's plan to supply the North with electricity roughly equal to its
output.
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"Having this advanced technology is reflective of a country that is advanced and strong," said Pinkston.
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As
part of a proposal to end North Korea's pursuit of nuclear weapons,
South Korea, which has 20 nuclear reactors, has proposed supplying it
with 2,000 megawatts of power on condition that Pyongyang dismantles its
programs.
"Even
if North Korea has nuclear power plants, the current antiquated power
grid there cannot handle the capacity," Kim Kyoung-sool, an
economist specializing in North Korea's energy policies at the South's
Korea Energy Economics Institute, told Reuters.
North
Korea's grid is a shambles. Large parts of it were built during Japan's
1910-1945 colonial rule, Kim said.
North
Korea's electricity output is estimated to be slightly more than 2,000
megawatts; not enough to light the country at night as satellite
pictures vividly illustrate.
Light-water
reactors are considered far more proliferation-resistant than the
technology North Korea has for its nuclear program, which produces
plenty of weapons-grade plutonium but virtually no electricity for
civilian use.
As
part of a 1994 deal, an international consortium began to build two
light-water reactors for North Korea in exchange for Pyongyang freezing
its nuclear weapons program.
The
manager of the project said 34.5 percent of construction had been
completed before it was suspended after Washington accused Pyongyang of
violating the deal by pursuing a clandestine plan to develop weapons
based on highly enriched uranium.
The
North said in February it had nuclear weapons.
It
typically takes nine years or more and costs about $2 billion to $3
billion on average to build a modern nuclear power plant with a standard
capacity of about 1,000 megawatts.