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“If there's a desire to postpone the elections, it's going to have to come from within Iraq,” Ross said.
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Diamond, once an insider and a close player in Iraq, went even further by
warning “Iraq is about to reach a point of no return,” and calling
for a necessary delay with the aim of engaging the Sunnis.
In a recent article in The New York Times, Diamond said the US
administration must mull a delay of the vote in exchange for the
cooperation of the Iraqi Sunnis who boycott the vote.
“What is needed now is for all of Iraq's social and political
stakeholders to sit down and talk.”
“The outlines of a compromise are visible.”
Former president Bill Clinton's Middle East envoy, Dennis Ross, on his
part, called for the creation of a “national reconciliation
conference” in Iraq to end violence in the country.
“If there's a desire to postpone the elections, it's going to have to
come from within Iraq, it's going to have to come from some
understanding worked out between an emerging Sunni group that is there
and the Shiites,” he told CBS television.
Ross, however, warned that any delay of the January elections would pose
enormous risks in the war-ravaged country.
“We have a civil war guaranteed if the Shiites are the ones who become
disaffected,” Ross said.
“Right now, it's a Sunni-led insurgency. And it's very difficult as it
is. If you lose the Shiites as well, then you have not only a civil war,
you have something that from an American standpoint will look a lot like
Vietnam.”
Several politicians and party officials in Iraq are pressing for a
six-month delay of the vote over the increasing deteriorating security
conditions.
Unabated Bloodshed
The US analysts and officials further believe the raging violence in the
country would keep the Iraqi voters, especially in the predominantly
Sunni areas, away from casting ballot in the polls, allowing the Iraqi
Shiites to dominate the elections and leading to more insecurity in the
country.
As a case in point, six Iraqi policemen were killed Tuesday, January 11,
in a car bomb blast in ousted Iraqi president Saddam Hussein's hometown
of Tikrit, AFP reported.
“At approximately 9:30 am (0630 GMT) on January 11 in northern Tikrit
anti-Iraqi forces detonated a vehicle borne improvised explosive device
in the vicinity of a police station, killing six Iraqi police,” the US
military said in a statement.
Several other people were also wounded in the attack,
which came a day after Baghdad's deputy police chief was killed in an
ambush.
The Association of Muslim Scholars (AMS), the highest religious authority
in the country, pressed for a boycott of the elections, citing the
impossibility of organizing fair elections held under current
deteriorating conditions.
Also, the Islamic Party, a major Sunni political player, recently
backtracked on its earlier decision to vie, dealing a huge blow to the
process.
But the call to delay the polls was shrugged off by the interim Iraqi
government and its US backers, especially after top Shiite
scholars threatened to withhold support for the interim
government.
UN Iraqi envoy Lakhdar Brahimi also warned that holding the elections
would be impossible unless “first and foremost security improves”
with many, including Britain’s The Independent, expecting the
vote to be one of the most “secretive” polls in history.
On Monday, January 10, the question of how the US might
ever start pulling out its troops from Iraq was highlighted in a report
by the New York Times.
The report showed US
president George Bush as still hoping the controversial
polls to be a promising one.