GENEVA,
February 16 (IslamOnline & News Agencies) - Major aid agencies and
Iraq's neighbors have warned donor nations at a meeting in Geneva that
a war against Baghdad could have a devastating impact on civilians, a
Swiss government official said on Sunday, February 16.
"The
crisis would be of tremendous proportions," Walter Fust, the
Swiss government's development aid chief, told a news conference.
Fust
was summarizing opinions expressed during a two-day closed-door
meeting between experts from 29 governments and 21 aid agencies that
ended on Sunday.
The
worst-case scenario "would be a catastrophe never seen in any
country over the past years and a number of actors would not be able
to cope with such a situation", Fust said.
"The
degree of civilian vulnerability is greater than in 1991 with the Gulf
war."
The
meeting was organized by the Swiss government to take stock of
preparations that aid agencies are making to cope with the
humanitarian disaster a new Gulf war could provoke.
Relief
organizations have been preparing for several months by
pre-positioning supplies and staff in the Gulf region.
The
United States declined to take part in the Geneva meeting. "We
are uncertain as to how the conference would assist the
planning," a U.S. official said this week.
Meanwhile
Iraq was not invited to avoid "politicizing" the gathering
of mainly technical humanitarian experts.
The
meeting discussed the current situation in Iraq, which is dependent on
the UN's oil-for-food program, as well as fears of mass casualties and
massive refugee movements in case of war.
On
Thursday, February 13, the United Nations' chief UN emergency relief
coordinator, Kenzo Oshima, said a "medium-case scenario"
assumed war would leave 10 million of Iraq's 22 million people in need
of immediate food aid and half the country without access to drinking
water or sanitation.
The
UN has estimated that two million Iraqis would be displaced inside the
country and between 600,000 and 1.45 million refugees would seek
asylum in neighboring countries.
‘Not
Worth Living’
"According
to polls, 40 percent of children (in Iraq) do not think life is worth
living," Fust said, quoting data from humanitarian agencies.
"This
is an indicator of what the crisis is already and where were are
heading," he added.
Officials
said neighboring countries, notably Jordan, warned of a repeat of the
situation before and during the 1991 Gulf war, when thousands fled to
their territory from Iraq but they were left without cash and help to
cope with the influx, officials said.
Fust
said the neighboring countries -- Iran, Jordan, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia,
Syria and Turkey -- had "made a strong commitment... to a policy
of open borders" to facilitate relief efforts.
Fust
said aid agencies had received many verbal pledges from donor
countries but little in the way of actual payments to carry out their
contingency planning.
"There
are many (donor) countries that not only have to look at pledges to
international (aid) organizations but also the needs of neighboring
countries," he said.
The
United Nations is likely to appeal next week for more funds to top up
the estimated 120 million dollars it needs to cover relief
preparations for Iraq, according to UN officials.
Apart
from Iraq's neighbors, the other participants included the four
permanent members of the Security Council other than the U.S. --
Britain, China, France and Russia -- as well as major donor nations
Germany and Japan.
Swiss
Foreign Minister Micheline Calmy-Rey told the participants on
Saturday, February 15, that the meeting was organized "not
because I believe war is inevitable, but because it is time that the
world devoted its attention to the fate of civilian populations".
The
president of the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC),
Jakob Kellenberger, said the plight of civilians was uppermost in the
ICRC's mind.
"The
ICRC hopes war can be avoided. So do the other components of the Red
Cross and Red Crescent Movement," he told the meeting, which was
held behind closed doors, as it opened on Saturday.
In
a written copy of his remarks, Kellenberger said it would be essential
to "at least mitigate human suffering".
"If
war cannot be avoided, it is imperative that the future belligerents
fully respect the provisions of international humanitarian law, such
as the obligation to protect persons who do not or no longer
participate in hostilities, to distinguish between civilians and
combatants as well as between civilian objects and military
objectives," he cautioned.
The
BBC's online news service said that the Swiss Agency for Development
and Cooperation, which is chairing this gathering, says the tone of
discussions will be highly practical and will focus on the logistics
of providing help to Iraq in the event of any war.
However,
the BBC said no county sent a ministerial representative to the
meeting except for Switzerland whose foreign minister is responsible
for organizing the meeting.