Allied
commanders regard the capture of Basra, along with its docks at the head
of the Gulf and two airfields, as extremely important to the invasion,
said the Telegraph.
The
amphibious force being assembled for the task is likely to be at least
40,000 strong, the daily said, adding that the 5,500 Royal Marines will
fight alongside two expeditionary units of the U.S. marines.
The
attack will involve the naval task force which sails to the Gulf early
next month, led by the aircraft carrier Ark Royal after its conversion
into a commando assault ship.
Four
Royal Navy mine-hunters, which are already in the Gulf on exercise, have
been asked by the Americans to lead mine-clearing operations in the
northern Gulf and to open the important Shatt al-Arab waterway leading
to Basra and the Euphrates river system.
"The
Americans have asked for the Royal Marines and we will send them,"
a senior official confirmed.
According
to the paper, Britain's naval contribution will involve more than 20
ships from the Navy and Fleet Auxiliary, led by Ark Royal and the
helicopter carrier Ocean.
They
will soon undergo intensive training against biological and chemical
attack, directed by specialists from the Ministry of Defense's chemical
warfare research centre at Porton Down.
After
a period of exercises, including practice landings in either the
Mediterranean or the Gulf, they are expected to be ready for action by
the end of January 2003, the Telegraph said.
Preparations
for action are being stepped up after signs that America has set its
sights on February to begin the war on Iraq - soon after the January 27
deadline for Hans Blix, the United Nations' chief weapons inspector, to
report to the Security Council on Iraqi cooperation.
The
other main British contributions to the war are expected to be a small
armored division, RAF bombers, surveillance and refueling aircraft, and
special forces, which the Americans rate as the best in NATO.
Some
elements of the SAS and Special Boat Squadron are probably already in
the region, it added.
Their
main priority is to prevent any attack on Israel by Scud missiles from
mobile launchers in the western deserts of Iraq.
The
SAS and SBS will also be searching for secret command bunkers and mobile
biological warfare laboratories, which have allegedly been identified to
American and British intelligence by Iraqi defectors.
By
the beginning of February, the Americans will be expected to have
between 250,000 and 300,000 ground troops in the region - including four
armored and armored-infantry divisions together with the 82nd Airborne
and the 101 Air Cavalry Division.
The
war will be launched with a ferocious air assault designed to achieve
the total annihilation of Iraq forces within a month.
Planes
from a large fleet of U.S. carriers positioned in the Gulf will launch
hundreds of sorties a day against Iraqi targets.
British
jets based in Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, Turkey and from the Ark Royal
carrier group will also take part, the paper said.
Advances
in technology mean that each of the U.S. carriers - the 86,000-ton Kitty
Hawk, Harry S Truman, Abraham Lincoln and the soon-to-arrive
Constellation - will be able to hit up to 700 targets a day, compared to
no more than 162 in the 1991 Gulf war.
The
air war will be preceded by an attack involving the use of thousands of
cruise missiles being fired from British and U.S. ships and
nuclear-powered submarines.
They
will have as their targets air defense installations and command and
control centers, effectively rendering Iraqi forces defenseless from air
attack and unable to communicate with their high command.
British,
and probably Dutch and Italian, fighter-bombers led by RAF GR4 Tornados
from Bahrain will attack local military targets round Basra.
By
then the Americans will have up to four aircraft carriers in the Gulf
and Arabian Sea with 348 strike aircraft involved.
A
fifth carrier, Kitty Hawk, converted to a commando and special forces
platform, will lead the amphibious fleet, including the British.
The
attack will be free flowing - with less of the rigid phasing of Desert
Storm and Desert Sabre of 1991.
The
‘allies’ will attack in the south to take Basra, encourage rebellion
among the Kurds in the north, where the British have been training local
militia, and conduct commando sabotage raids throughout the country.
An
all-out attack on Baghdad will be mounted only as a last resort because
it is hoped that the Iraq regime will have collapsed well before this
becomes necessary, the daily said.
The
‘allies’ appear to be reserving the option of having to finish the
job after August, when the weather becomes cooler and ground operations
are more feasible.
For
this reason British Prime Minister Tony Blair is offering a smaller
ground force than the one that fought for Kuwait 11 years ago, a small
division, or what the Army calls a "brigade battle group".
For
planners and commanders in all three services, the process of going to
war has begun.
As
one senior commander said this week: "War is now more probable than
not."