WASHINGTON,
October 10 (IslamOnline & News Agencies) - The Central Intelligence
Agency told the Senate Intelligence Committee that if the Iraqi
president were left alone, the risks of him using chemical or biological
weapons (CBW) were low.
The
CIA also warned of a “pretty high” risk of Iraqi President Saddam
Hussein using weapons of mass destruction in the event of a U.S. attack,
as key U.N. members edged closer to agreement on a new resolution on
Iraq, Agence France-Presse (AFP) reported.
U.S.
President George W. Bush, ratcheting up the war rhetoric in a speech in
Knoxville, Tennessee, meanwhile threatened that “the full force and
fury of the United States military will be unleashed” if Iraq does not
disarm.
“And
make no mistake about it, we will prevail,” he said.
Baghdad
at the moment “appears to be drawing a line short of conducting
terrorist attacks with conventional or CBW against the United States,”
CIA director George Tenet said in a letter dated Oct. 7, signed by
Deputy CIA Director John McLaughlin on Tenet’s behalf, committee
chairman Bob Graham made public Tuesday.
Graham
had earlier requested the CIA declassify parts of its secret assessment
on Iraq.
But
Tenet warned this Iraqi approach could undergo a reevaluation if Saddam
were to conclude he was about to lose power or even his life.
“Should
Saddam conclude that a U.S.-led attack could no longer be deterred, he
probably would become much less constrained in adopting terrorist
actions.
“Saddam
might decide that the extreme step of assisting Islamist terrorists in
conducting a WMD [weapons of mass destruction] attack against the United
States would be his last chance to exact vengeance by taking a large
number of victims with him,” Tenet warned.
Tenet,
in an attempt to pre-empt speculation that the CIA’s assessment
counters the Bush administrations perceptions of Iraq, said there was
“no inconsistency” between the CIA's view of Saddam’s growing
threat and the view expressed in the president's speech Monday night.
Tenet
also declassified a portion of a secret briefing given to members of the
committee by a senior intelligence official on October 2, in which the
official was asked about the chances of the Iraqi leader lashing out
with biological or chemical weapons.
These
chances were “pretty high,” the official said.
At
the same time, the official said that if the Iraqi leader did not feel
threatened, “My judgment would be that the probability of him
initiating an attack - let me put a time frame on it - in the
foreseeable future, given the conditions we understand now, the
likelihood I think would be low.”
‘Although
we think the chances of Saddam initiating a WMD attack at this moment
are low - in part because it would constitute an admission that he
possesses WMD - there is no question that the likelihood of Saddam using
WMD against the United States or our allies in the region for blackmail,
deterrence, or otherwise grows as his arsenal continues to build,”
Tenet said.
White
House spokesman Ari Fleischer, in an attempt to pre-empt speculation
that Tenet’s testimony undercuts the Bush administration’s
perception of Iraq, said Wednesday that Tenet “did not say we’re
OK…If Saddam Hussein holds a gun to someone’s head, while he denies
he even owns a gun, do you really want to take a chance that he’ll
never use it.”
But
New Jersey Democrat Rep. Donald Payne said Tenet’s report suggested
that an attack on Iraq “could trigger the very things that our
president has said that he is trying to prevent, the use of chemical or
biological weapons. In view of this report, the policy of a pre-emptive
strike is troublesome.”
In
the U.S. Congress, the House of Representatives could pass a resolution
by Thursday allowing Bush to act unilaterally in case the U.N. fails to
rid Iraq of weapons of mass destruction.
Ohio
Democrat Rep. Dennis Kucinich, who has led opposition to authorizing war
on Iraq, said he expected more than 100 House members to vote against
the resolution. Many of the opponents warned that an attack on Iraq
before tougher U.N. inspections are allowed to work and with few or no
allies could come at a high cost to this country, reports news agencies.
And
Maine Democrat Rep. Tom Allen added that, “There is a far higher risk
of fueling resentment in Arab and Muslim nations and swelling the ranks
of the anti-U.S. terrorists.”
The
Senate, for its part, is still debating competing resolutions on this
matter, and may present Bush with a harder sell.
As
debate over Bush’s resolution resumed Wednesday, Sen. Harry Reid of
Nevada, the second-ranking Senate Democrat, said he would vote to extend
war-making power to Bush, while urging the president to use that power
with discretion.
“President
Bush, the rule of law matters and so does a decent respect for opinion
of the rest of the world. As president of the United States, you are the
leader of the free world, not its ruler,” Reid said.
And
West Virginia Democrat Sen. Robert Byrd, an unyielding defender of the
Senate's constitutional prerogatives, made clear he would use
legislative delaying tactics to push debate into next week, saying the
resolution was a “blank check” that “cedes the decision-making
power of the Congress under the Constitution to declare war.”
He
suggested the issue be put off until after the November election,
reports news agencies.
Some
Democrats had complained that the CIA was not providing intelligence
that contradicted the Bush administration’s views on Iraq, reports
news agencies. In response, Tenet sent the October 7 letter to Graham.