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Blair: Iraq Very Close to Having Nuclear Bomb

A journalist holds a copy of a dossier setting out Blair’s case for military action against Iraq

LONDON, September 24 (IslamOnline & News Agencies) - Iraq is as little as a year or two away from having a nuclear bomb, and it could deploy chemical and biological weapons in no more than 45 minutes, the British government alleged Tuesday, September 24.

In a 55-page dossier, it alleged that Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein “attaches great importance to possessing weapons of mass destruction (and) does not regard them only as weapons of last resort”, Agence France-Presse (AFP) reported.

“Despite sanctions, the policy of containment has not worked sufficiently well to prevent Saddam from developing these weapons,” wrote Prime Minister Tony Blair in the dossier’s foreword.

“He has to be stopped,” added Blair, as the House of Commons convened for an emergency debate on whether Britain should join a possible U.S.-led war on Iraq aimed at overthrowing Saddam’s regime.

Blair was to meet later Tuesday in London with German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder, who narrowly won re-election Sunday after campaigning against U.S. President George W. Bush's hard line on Iraq.

Baghdad greeted the British report - the product of the government's secretive Joint Intelligence Committee - as “baseless," and military analysts in London said that on first reading, it offered little new information.

“It does not produce any convincing evidence, or any ‘killer fact’, that says that Saddam Hussein has to be taken out straight away,” said Charles Heyman, editor of Jane’s World Armies.

"What it does do is produce very convincing evidence that (United Nations) weapons inspectors have to be pushed back into Iraq very quickly," he said.

The report alleged that:

  • Iraq has continued, since the 1991 Gulf War, to produce chemical and biological agents for eventual use in weapons.

  • It has “military plans for the use of chemical and biological weapons, including against its own Shia population,” and that “some of these weapons are deployable within 45 minutes of an order to use them.”

  • Iraq could produce a nuclear weapons in “between one and two years” if it could get fissile material, such as uranium, and “other essential components” from foreign sources.

(That is a more conservative time frame from the one given on September 9 by the International Institute for Strategic Studies, a London-based think-tank, which said Iraq could make nuclear weapons "within months" with foreign help.)

  • Iraq has sought “significant quantities of uranium from Africa” and recalled specialists to work on its nuclear program derailed by U.N. inspectors prior to their departure four years ago.

  • It has “illegally" retained up to 20 al-Hussein missiles capable of hitting Israel or Cyprus, where Britain has military bases, and is developing longer-range missiles that could reach as far as Oman, the Iran-Afghan border and most of Turkey.

  • It has “learnt lessons from previous U.N. weapons inspections” and begun already to hide “sensitive equipment and documentation” even after telling that United Nations last week that it will accept a return of inspectors.

Giving Iraq’s first reaction, Culture Minister Hamad Yussef Hammadi said the dossier was “baseless” and part of a “campaign of lies orchestrated by world Zionism.”

“All the reports presented to the U.N. by former weapons inspectors have shown that Iraq does not possess such weapons which were destroyed either by the teams of inspectors or by Iraq itself,” Hammadi said.

Blair is the European leader who most strongly backs Bush’s tough line on Iraq, though his government is putting a greater accent on disarming Iraq than on “regime change” in Baghdad.

Meanwhile, French President Jacques Chirac said Tuesday that his government has “indications” that Iraq possesses weapons of mass destruction, but that U.N. weapons inspectors will need to provide proof.

“On these questions, we obviously have indications although no proof, and this is, incidentally, one of the reasons why we insist firmly that the inspectors return” to Iraq, Chirac told the closing news conference of the Asia-Europe meeting (ASEM) in Copenhagen.

Chirac said that he “naturally” had no advance knowledge of evidence on Iraq’s capabilities presented by British Prime Minister Tony Blair on Tuesday.

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