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U.S. Legislators Warn Bush Against Hasty Strike on Iraq

Feinstein of California introduced a resolution opposing the use of force against Iraq without congressional authorization or a declaration of war

WASHINGTON, July 31 (IslamOnline & News Agencies) - Top Republican and Democrat lawmakers, as well as regional experts, cautioned U.S. President George W. Bush Wednesday, July 31, against hastily and unilaterally launching a war to remove Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein.

"We need to weigh the risks of action versus the risks of inaction," said Senator Joseph Biden (D-DE), chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, at the start of two days of hearings on assessing the Iraqi threat.

"We must estimate, soberly, the human and economic cost of war plans and post-war plans," agreed Republican Senator Dick Lugar of the same panel. "This is a time for all of us to think through the cost and the dangers."

Sen. Chuck Hagel of Nebraska, ranking Republican on the committee, on Wednesday said on NBC's "Today" show, "It is now time for a national discussion on this.”

"This is a serious, serious issue because there will be consequences here, there will be unintended consequences. We need to answer some questions."

Bush has stated his determination to remove Saddam Hussein from power, insisting that the Iraqi president's pursuit of weapons of mass destruction poses a threat to the United States and its allies.

Although the administration has made efforts to link Iraq to the September 11 terrorist attacks on the U.S., it has offered no evidence on the matter, even though officials have said Saddam has links to terrorists and could share his weapons with them.

USA Today reports that Bush administration officials have told key lawmakers not to expect a U.S. attack on Iraq before the fall elections, saying there would be no ''October surprise,'' allowing time for Congress to debate the possibility of war.

Biden believes there would be no attack against Iraq this year

Biden added, "There's not likely to be anything before November, and I think they're trying to get their act together on what to do afterwards."

And though Bush has often spoken of the need to remove Saddam from power, administration officials have not said an invasion is inevitable, reports news agencies.

U.S. Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld said Tuesday, "We don't know if the United States would exercise a military option with respect to Iraq…There are a variety of ways to address it: diplomatically, economic and military."

And Biden, doubting there would be an invasion this year, has stated that he believes Bush has not made a final decision on the matter.

"I'm convinced the administration has not made up their mind yet," said Biden. "Now they may have made up their mind about a regime change, but I'd be very, very, very surprised if the president has made a decision on how to attempt to change that regime."

Lawmakers have insisted that Bush consult with Congress and clearly outline his military plan before pursuing his objective and warned that the president had to persuade U.S. allies, particularly those in the region, to back the initiative.

Democratic Sens. Dianne Feinstein of California and Patrick Leahy of Vermont on Tuesday introduced a resolution that opposed the use of force against Iraq without congressional authorization or a declaration of war, reports news agencies.

"This is not a question ... whether or not Saddam Hussein is a brutal dictator - he most certainly is," Feinstein said. "The question is what [is] the best policy for the United States to address these issues and, if we are to use force, that we do so only after full debate and consideration of the options and with a united government and the specific statutory authorization of Congress."

Speaking to the committee, defense and military expert Anthony Cordesman warned the U.S. administration not to underestimate Iraqi military forces.

"It is very dangerous to make quick, sweeping generalization of the military capability of Iraq," he said. "This is not a force that can be dismissed."

Effective U.S. military action against Iraq, he said, would require a force of at least 50,000 to 80,000, as well as access to major air bases in the region, particularly in Turkey and Saudi Arabia. If the latter were not available, all the air bases in Kuwait, Qatar and Bahrain would have to be open to U.S. forces.

"If you cannot get Saudi airspace, that would be critical," Cordesman said, adding that, "any assessment of [U.S.] relative capability is based and determined not so much on what our European allies will do, but on our support in the region."

Saudi Arabia has stated its opposition to any effort to topple Hussein, stressing that the nature of the ruling regime in Baghdad was an internal Iraqi affair.

Biden has also emphasized the importance of considering what U.S. responsibilities would be in the region if Washington toppled Hussein.

"In many ways the most critical question related to our responsibilities to the day after," he said. "In Afghanistan, the war was prosecuted exceptionally well, but the follow-through commitment to Afghanistan's security and reconstruction has, in my judgment, fallen short."

The former head of the United Nations arms inspection team in Iraq (UNSCOM), Richard Butler defended the current policy of containment against the Iraqi regime, but said the only way it would be more successful would be if Russia agreed to cooperate with the United States.

"If you can get Russia [and France] to work seriously with us in Baghdad to make very clear to the Iraqis that this is it, you do some serious arms control or you are toast, then we might have a chance," he said.

Russia has called for a peaceful settlement of the crisis over U.N. weapons inspections in Iraq and urged Baghdad to abide by U.N. resolutions to settle the issue.

Butler warned, however, that containment had failed to stop Hussein from working hard on developing and increasing alleged weapons of mass destruction capability.

But he added that it was not likely that he would provide those same weapons to non-Iraqi terrorist groups.

"I suspect that, especially given his psychology and aspirations, Saddam would be reluctant to share what he believes to be an indelible source of his own power," Butler said.

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