KABUL,
July 6 (IslamOnline & News Agencies) - The assassination of
Vice-President Haji Abdul Qadir has dealt a major blow to efforts by
Afghan President Hamid Karzai to bring an end to the power of the
country’s regional warlords, analysts said.
Karzai
has deliberately pursued a strategy of trying to bring regional
powerbrokers into government and the agreement of Qadir, regarded as
the most powerful man in eastern Afghanistan, to come into the fold
was seen as a major achievement for the new president.
The
appointment of the ethnic Pashtun was also part of a careful balancing
act by Karzai to satisfy all sectors of Afghanistan’s ethnic divide.
But
according to Ahmed Rashid, author of the highly-acclaimed book
Taliban, the strategy has been badly damaged. “Obviously it is a
very serious blow,” Rashid told Agence France-Presse (AFP).
“Haji
Qadir was a warlord who had been convinced by Hamid Karzai to come to
Kabul and to cooperate with the central government and allow the
central government to extend its writ to eastern Afghanistan.
“This
was a very positive development ... and was a signal to other warlords
that they should also do the same.”
The
European Union’s outgoing envoy to Afghanistan said recently that
Karzai would face the biggest challenge of his presidency in trying to
bring the warlords into the fold.
“From
the beginning President Karzai has taken the decision to integrate or
include the regional leaders into the governmental policy here in
Kabul,” said Klaus-Peter Klaiber.
“I
think this is a good approach and ... I can only hope that it will
work. That is the big question and the big challenge for the new
administration in my opinion.”
Karzai
has also tried to bring other regional warlords into government,
making Uzbek strongman Abdul Rashid Dostam deputy defense minister in
his earlier interim administration and also finding a cabinet post for
Ismail Khan, the self-styled Emir of Herat in Afghanistan’s west.
The
ultimate goal was to extend the influence of the central government
beyond Kabul and increase security.
A
senior source from the International Security Assistance Force (ISAF)
cautioned that Qadir’s assassination should not necessarily be seen
as the start of an unraveling of the security situation in Kabul,
which has dramatically improved in recent months.
“This
shows that it [political violence] is still part of the Afghan
landscape,” he told AFP.
“But
I do not think it is part of a larger plot which is linked to the
wider picture. In spite of this attack the situation in Kabul remains
very positive.”
The
assassination of Qadir comes less than a week after scores of his
fellow ethnic Pashtuns were killed in a bombing raid in central
Uruzgan.
Rashid
said that the killing could strengthen Karzai’s position by boosting
sympathy for the plight of Pashtuns, who were marginalized in the
post-Taliban era over their support for the fundamentalist militia.
“Following
the bombing of the village in Uruzgan where all the victims were
Pashtuns here we have another most prominent Pashtun leader, one of
the most moderate Pashtun leaders in eastern Afghanistan being gunned
down in such a way.
“This
is certainly going to anger a lot of Pashtuns, but it will also create
a wave of sympathy and support for Karzai because I think Pashtuns
will be generally repulsed by this assassination.”
It
could also strengthen support among moderate Pashtuns for the campaign
against the extremists to be pursued at a time when more questions
were being asked about the long-term goal.
“There
will be a lot of anger as to whoever was responsible if it was Taliban
or Al- Qaeda or anyone else,” said Rashid.