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Musharraf “Determined to Avoid War,” India Plans War Within Two Weeks

“President Musharraf made it very clear that he is searching for peace and he would not be the one to initiate war,” Armitage (L) said.

NEW DELHI, June 6 (IslamOnline & News Agencies) - While U.S. Deputy Secretary of State Richard Armitage said Thursday, June 6 that Pakistani President Pervez Musharraf had assured him he was determined to avoid a war with India over the simmering Kashmir crisis, India's military was reported to be seeking final authorization to invade the Pakistani side of divided Kashmir in the middle of this month.

“President Musharraf made it very clear that he is searching for peace and he would not be the one to initiate war,” Armitage said, quoted by Agence France-Presse (AFP).

“I'm very heartened to hear of President Musharraf's desire to have war avoidance,” he went on. “I think we need to do our best, the international community, to bring down the temperature.

But Armitage admitted that the situation remained "quite complicated and quite volatile".

Armitage arrived in Islamabad Thursday for meetings with Musharraf and Foreign Minister Abdul Sattar, in the first volley of a major new U.S. diplomatic offensive to avert conflict between the nuclear-capable rivals.

The veteran foreign policy troubleshooter is to be followed to the region by U.S. Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld who will also try to cool the row which has erupted over the issue of alleged cross-border militancy in disputed Kashmir.


U.S. President George W. Bush kicked off the initiative Wednesday, June 5 with phone calls to Musharraf and Indian Prime Minister Atal Behari Vajpayee in which he urged both leaders to “choose the path of diplomacy”.

To Vajpayee, Bush stressed “the need for India to respond with de-escalatory steps,” White House spokesman Ari Fleischer said, after the United States and Britain upgraded travel warnings and strongly urged their citizens to leave both countries.

And to Musharraf Bush said "that the United States expects Pakistan to live up to the commitment Pakistan has made to end all support for terrorism," Fleischer added.

Armitage confirmed that Musharraf “made it clear that nothing is happening across the Line of Control,” AFP reported.

Armitage also said he was buoyed by Musharraf's comments that Pakistan was still committed to the U.S.-led war on terrorism, particularly the crackdown on Osama bin Laden's Al-Qaeda network.

“He expressed his absolute determination to continue to prosecute the war on Al-Qaeda and he also articulated his aspirations for the people of Pakistan -- he was really pointing to the future,” Armitage said, quoted by AFP.

Meanwhile, India's military is seeking final authorization to invade the Pakistani side of divided Kashmir in the middle of this month, the British daily newspaper, The Telegraph, reported Thursday, June 6.

The Telegraph quoted military sources as saying that the planned war would be similar to the U.S. war on Afghanistan in which air strikes would be followed by ground assaults by special forces transported by helicopter.

Smart bombs and other advanced ordnance are reported to have been loaded on to French-made Mirage 2000H and Russian-built MiG-27 aircraft at bases in northern and western India, the Telegraph said.

Most senior Indian officers expect that the conflict would last about a week before pressure from the U.S. and other powers forced a ceasefire.

One Indian officer said he believed there was only the “slimmest chance” of nuclear weapons being used. “We will call Pakistan's nuclear bluff,” he said. It [the nuclear factor] cannot deter us any more.”

Indian tanks sit on train carriages in the northern city of Ludhiana waiting to be dispatched to Kashmir state.

The Indians want to move before the arrival of heavy monsoon rains at the beginning of July make military operations impossible, said the Telegraph.

The tension was underlined by the British Foreign Office's second warning to Britons to leave the region.

Last week, British Foreign Secretary Jack Straw said they should “consider” leaving.

On Wednesday, June 5, Straw said British nationals “should” do so amid evidence that the first advice had been widely ignored. Officials say there are some 20,000 Britons in India, but unofficial estimates are much higher.

As the U.S. issued equally robust advice to its 60,000 citizens, a senior Indian planning officer said that Washington and London knew that action was imminent.

“The U.S.-led move out of Delhi indicates that Washington has been informed of India's intentions of hitting Pakistan and is taking them seriously,” the Telegraph quoted the officer as saying.

Japan's Foreign Minister, Yoriko Kawaguchi, cancelled a trip to the region hours after speaking to Straw. Tokyo refused to give a reason, saying only that “there were various considerations”.

India's plan of attack is to seize and hold tracts of Pakistani Kashmir, providing the government with a much-needed military triumph and the military with improved defensive positions.

Officers indicated that the air force was poised to execute a strategy developed over several years to strike at 50 to 75 targets in Kashmir.

The Indians would then send troops across the high mountain passes in helicopters.

Planners expect major casualties as the helicopters cross four lines of Pakistani air defenses equipped with advanced radar.

Targets will include a bridge across the Karakoram highway connecting China to the region and at least three others linking Pakistani Kashmir to the rest of the country.

Their destruction would prevent China from replenishing its ally Pakistan's weaponry. It would also cut off supply routes from Pakistan to front-line units.

India's broad strategy is to execute air strikes that will induce Pakistan into extending the conflict by opening a wider front.

The two countries have massed more than a million men on their border since the crisis began with an attack on the Indian parliament in December, which India has blamed - without evidence to date - on Pakistan.

India's military believes that it now has political backing for war. An officer said the beleaguered ruling coalition was “fully aware” that backing down at this juncture would mean political suicide.

By attacking soon, an Indian officer said, India planned to set back Pakistan's military capability by at least 30 years, pushing it into the military “dark ages”, the Telegraph reported.

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