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Pakistani Referendum Open To Manipulation: Analysts

Opposition political parties and Islamic groups participate in anti-Musharraf rally in Lahore

KARACHI, April 29 (IslamOnline & News Agencies) - Pakistani opposition leaders and independent analysts have expressed fears that the Tuesday, April 30, referendum to extend military ruler Pervez Musharraf's term as president is wide open to manipulation, news agencies reported.

Pakistan goes to the polls to decide whether Musharraf should be granted an extra five years, but critics say the lack of an official register of electors leaves the door wide open for corruption.

"Having no voter list implies there is no standard to judge as to whether the majority has cast their vote," said Rasheed Rizvi, the former president of the southern province of Sindh's Bar Association, Agence France-Presse (AFP) reported.

Earlier plans requiring citizens to show official identity cards before voting have been scrapped and an indelible ink mark on voters' fingers will be the only technique to prevent multiple voting, a system Rizvi says will be abused.

The turnout figure, seen as crucial to the referendum's credibility, will also be in doubt, he said. "There is no national register of voters to determine the percentage of turnout," he said.

"In normal practice it is the majority of the total national registered votes and the percentage of the vote polled that counts," he said.

Raza Rabbani, acting secretary of former prime minister Benazir Bhutto's Pakistan People's Party, said the result had already been decided.

"Former military ruler Zia ul Haq's referendum looked more transparent than that of Musharraf, because at least it was held on the basis of a registered voters' list and the condition of the national identity card was there," Rabbani said.

General Mohammad Zia ul Haq claimed an overwhelming victory in the 1984 referendum despite a poor turnout and widespread allegations of vote rigging.

Ghafoor Ahmed, deputy head of Pakistan's main fundamentalist party Jamaat-i-Islami, described Musharraf's referendum as the worst in Pakistan's history. "Musharraf has been talking about checks and balances, but there is no check on him. He wants absolute power and will get that through a shameful referendum," he said.

Jamaat was among several opposition and legal groups whose bid to halt the referendum through Pakistan's Supreme Court ended in defeat Saturday.

The government's commandeering of public transport to ferry supporters to a series of public rallies by Musharraf, who took power in a 1999 military coup, has also drawn sharp criticism.

Irshad Bokhari, the head of the Transport Federation in the southern port of Karachi, said bus companies had yet to receive any payment for use of the vehicles. Private transport has also been seconded to take supporters and civil servants to the polling stations.

Police in Karachi said they were under orders to provide 10 buses to every district council leader who had been enlisted to ensure Musharraf's supporters cast their votes.

The Alliance for the Restoration of Democracy, an umbrella group of anti-Musharraf religious and political parties, was due to hold a small protest in Karachi Monday after being denied permission for a larger rally.

Some 15,000 people turned out at the first officially sanctioned anti-referendum rally in Lahore on Saturday, where party leaders condemned the ballot as a farce and called for a boycott.

Pakistan People's Party spokesman Nazir Dhoki said Musharraf had already engineered his victory.

"We have decided to boycott the referendum because we know our negative votes will be thrown into the dustbin. It is a one-sided affair and there is nobody to check bogus voting," he said.

"It is an open fraud. We know that ballot boxes will be stuffed by 'yes' votes. Rigging has already started," he added, referring to police beatings meted out to drivers who refused to surrender their vehicles.

About half of Pakistan's largely illiterate 140-million population will be entitled to stamp their mark on the referendum papers, which link the "Yes" vote to a continuation of Musharraf's reforms.

These include his drive against corruption, the revival of the economy and a clampdown on religious extremism.

Polling stations have been set up at schools, state owned buildings, local council offices, factories, railway stations and airports to boost the turnout, seen as a key test of the referendum's credibility.

The last referendum to endorse a military ruler as president was in 1984, when General Zia ul Haq secured a 97.71 percent "yes" vote on a widely disputed turnout of 10 to 50 percent.

Musharraf is hoping for a turnout of around 30 percent, even if it means kicking people off public transport to ferry his supporters to the polling stations.

Analysts have warned that Musharraf's mandate could cost him dearly if he loses his image as a well-meaning military man and becomes just another manipulative politician in the eyes of the public.

On Saturday, an eleventh-hour ruling by Pakistan's Supreme Court allowing military ruler General Pervez Musharraf's referendum on extending his presidency has lifted an embarrassing cloud from the vote.


The court rejected several petitions filed by opposition and religious parties challenging the April 30 vote as unconstitutional.     

Pakistani newspaper The Nation, said Monday that almost all major opposition political parties announced boycott of the Presidential referendum and appealed to the people to observe complete strike throughout Baluchistan against the fake and unconstitutional referendum. 

This was stated by main speakers while addressing the public meeting at Nauroz Khan Stadium on Sunday.

The public meeting was arranged by three political alliances, ARD, PONM and Mutahida Majlis-i-Amal.

The paper described the meeting as “disappointing and poor” with a turn out of not more than three to four thousand. “That is the manifestation of shattering of the people’s faith they had in political parties particularly major ones PPP and PML(N).” 

The Pakistani government, reported the paper, also created hurdles to discourage the opposition parties to hold public meetings like watering the ground, where these parties was to hold public meeting, arresting the leaders of the parties and stopping the caravan of the participants on the entry points of the City. 


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