WASHINGTON,
March 19 (IslamOnline & News Agencies ) - Washington's apparent
isolation during Vice President Dick Cheney's Middle East tour will
not, despite the region's patent lack of enthusiasm for armed
intervention, lead to a softening of the U.S. position on Iraq.
Cheney
is the highest U.S. official to visit the Middle East since U.S.
President George W. Bush took power. His task, said the
administration, is to sound out Arab leadership about possible
military action against Iraq in the U.S.-led anti-terror drive,
Agence France-Presse (AFP) reported.
Despite
his previous Middle East experience and contacts, gleaned from years
as an oil executive, Cheney has met so far in his 12-nation tour
with strong resistance to a strike against 11-year-sanctions-hit
Iraq.
Reservations
expressed in Egypt and Jordan to any such strike were confirmed in
Saudi Arabia, the principal U.S. ally in the Gulf region, AFP said.
And
European nations meeting in Barcelona, Spain, even failed to bring
the matter up for official discussion, although words of support
were issued by Britain.
Experts
say that although the United States may have been looking for fewer
public rebuffs, it is too soon to judge whether Cheney's mission has
been a success.
"The
real measure of success is what was said in private, the commitments
made," said Michele Flournoy, senior advisor at the Center for
Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), a Washington think tank.
"I don't think we should mistake the spin that these countries
take for their own domestic political purposes as the primary
measure of success.
"I
don't think that message deters this administration at all from
continuing to make a case against Iraq and to gradually move towards
a situation where they will launch military action," she said.
"History
demands that this nation [U.S.] honors our commitment to freedom and
our love of freedom,” said the U.S. president. “The world is
looking at the United States of America to whether or not we will
blink, and I assure you we won't blink."
Scott
Lasensky, a fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations in New York,
gives a similar reading to Arab leaders' reactions: "How much
of that is rhetorical and for public consumption and how much of
that is real remains to be seen."
Lately,
the United States has multiplied accusations that Iraq builds and
stores arms of mass destruction -- which could make it the next
battlefield in the “war on terrorism”.
CNN
and The Time paper poll said 70 percent of those in
the United States would support their government's military in
toppling Iraqi President Saddam Hussein.
For
some experts, the real lesson from Cheney's 10-day tour of nine Arab
states, Israel and Turkey, as well as Britain, will be that the
United States must first tackle the Israeli-Palestinian question.
"I
think what the message that came back loud and clear to the Bush
administration is that most of the Arab states feel very strongly
that the U.S. needs to take more of a leadership role in trying to
resolve the Israeli-Palestinian situation and that that is more
important to them at this point then discussing next steps on
Iraq," Flournoy said.
"The
administration learned a lesson that they can't stay away from the
Israeli-Palestinian issue," said Lasensky. "Cheney's visit
is the final nail in the coffin."
Cheney's
tour, which took him to Israel Monday, March 18, will conclude with
a visit to Turkey.
NATO's
only Muslim member, Turkey, gave full support to the 1991 Gulf War
with U.S. jets using bases in southern Turkey to launch bombing
raids on Baghdad.
However,
Turkey is expected to convey to Cheney, who arrives there Tuesday,
March 19, its unease over any new military strikes on its southern
neighbor.
Turkey,
the key Muslim ally of Washington in the war against terrorism, has
spoken out against extending the anti-terror drive to its southern
neighbor, arguing that Baghdad's refusal to allow the resumption of
U.N. weapons inspections did not necessarily require punitive
strikes.
Speaking
at a press conference on Friday, March 15, during a European Union
summit in Barcelona, Ecevit said: "Iraq has been under strict
control and is not in a position to inflict any harm on its
neighbors ... It's not a necessity to undertake a military
operation."
Turkey
fears turmoil in Iraq would set back its efforts to revive the
crisis-hit Turkish economy and lead to the emergence of an
independent Kurdish state in northern Iraq, which has been outside
Baghdad's control since the 1991 Gulf War, AFP said.
Such
a state might fan separatist sentiment among Turkey's own Kurds and
rekindle a 15-year Kurdish rebellion for self-rule in the country's
southeastern corner, which has notably faded since 1999.
That
was confirmed earlier by the Egyptian military analyst Mohammed
Abdel-Salam, who said in an exclusive interview with IslamOnline
that Turkey, one of Iraq’s many neighboring countries that would
not support the Kurds with military aid, fears the Kurds would fight
for separate state.
In
a bid to avert an operation on Iraq, Turkey has made several
unsuccessful attempts to persuade Saddam Hussein to abide by U.N.
resolutions and has called on Washington to focus on the
Israeli-Palestinian conflict instead of pondering military moves
against Baghdad.
Ankara
gave full support to the 1991 Gulf War with U.S. jets using bases in
southern Turkey to launch bombing raids on Baghdad, and maintains it
lost 40 billion dollars as a result of the sanctions imposed on Iraq
for its 1990 invasion of Kuwait.
In
another development and ahead of Cheney’s visit to Turkey, a
prominent leader of the Iraqi Kurds, who have been in control of
northern Iraq since the 1991 Gulf War, arrived in Turkey Tuesday for
talks with Turkish officials.
Jalal
Talabani, who heads the Patriotic Union of Kurdistan (PUK), flew
into Istanbul from Damascus and is expected to travel on to Ankara
later in the day, the Anatolia news agency reported.
Talabani
is expected to meet the undersecretary of the Turkish Foreign
Ministry, Ugur Ziyal, on Wednesday, March 20.
Talabani's
visit, the second in less than two weeks, coincides with Cheney’s
visit.
Washington
wants to get rid of Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein and has threatened
military action if Baghdad refuses to allow the resumption of U.N.
weapons inspections.
Talabani
said during his previous visit to Ankara in early March that he
preferred a democratic change of regime in Iraq involving forces
within the country instead of a military intervention from outside.
"We
are for fundamental democratic change in Iraq with Iraqi democratic
and progressive forces," he said.
The
PUK leader also stressed that his faction would not support any plan
to overthrow Saddam without a sound alternative to replace him.
However,
Abdel-Salam, the Egyptian military analyst said that one of the
reasons that the U.S. would not topple the Iraqi regime with the
support of the Kurds is because the Kurds are wary of cooperating
with the U.S. fearing that the Iraqi regime will not be toppled
Meanwhile,
more than half of British voters now disapprove of the government
backing U.S. military action against Saddam Hussein's Iraqi regime,
a poll said Tuesday.
The
Guardian poll, showing 51 percent of the electorate against
British backing for a U.S.-led military strike, suggested a marked
hardening of opposition.
Similar
polls last year and three years ago showed majorities approving
action.
The
poll was by interviewing a random sample of 1,001 adults aged over
18 from across the country by telephone over the weekend.