The
fault with current US strategy is that it subjects Iraq’s
civilian population to extreme instances of violence and
destruction. Iraqi society has been subjected to instability and
near anarchy for nine months now, since the start of the US
invasion of Iraq. During these past months, even walking the
streets in Iraq can be perilous due to high amounts of crime in
addition to the frequent firefights between guerrillas and US
forces.
Firefights
between guerrillas and US forces often result in massive
destruction to the surrounding area. Using overwhelming force in
response to attacks, even in crowded marketplaces or on busy
streets, US forces cause otherwise avoidable losses of civilian
life. Indeed, human rights organizations have been increasingly
critical of the US strategy in Iraq; Human Rights Watch just
issued a report warning that US action in Iraq “suggests that
civilian casualties are not a paramount concern.”
Current
US policies have not gone without repercussions. Recent polls
taken in Iraq show that Iraqi society is now looking at US
forces as occupiers rather than as liberators. In certain cities
in Iraq, children hold up pictures of Saddam Hussein; in other
areas, people cheer when US soldiers are shot at or when
military helicopters are blasted down. The more Iraqis who
develop a negative image of US forces, the greater the risk that
they will cooperate, support or sympathize with the guerrilla
fighters. The danger of turning off the civilian population is
already evident in certain Iraqi cities, such as in Abu Ghraib.
Here,
US troops have been fighting residents in addition to
guerrillas. US forces have also fired on journalists attempting
to cover such operations; Alex Berenson of the New York Times
recently reported that in Abu Ghraib US troops “fired on a
photographer trying to cover the fighting and barred reporters
from viewing the scene.” Whether the harsh treatment of
journalists is official policy or simply accidental does not
matter as it causes the Iraqi population and the international
world to question the validity of US involvement in Iraq.
Images
of US soldiers using overwhelming force in their exchanges with
Iraqi guerrillas paint an increasingly negative picture of US
involvement in Iraq. While such controversial images may be
suppressed in the United States, they are not elsewhere; as well
as on Arab television networks, European news networks show
videos of US troops using overwhelming force in response to
attacks. Instead of attempting to prevent these images from
reaching the outside world, greater peacekeeping training must
be given to US forces to prevent their fighting methods from
turning off not only Iraqi society, but also the greater world.
The
increasingly violent gunfights between US forces and guerrillas
help to add to the feeling of anarchy in Iraq. The longer that
Iraqi society has to deal with a feeling of anarchy, the greater
the chance that Iraqis will demand an immediate exit of US
forces. Certainly, Iraqi society is used to hardship. Under
Saddam Hussein’s rule, many Iraqis were subjected to political
repression and persecution. Saddam’s extensive security
apparatus permeated all layers of Iraqi society. However,
despite Saddam’s transgressions, Iraqis lived relatively
stable lives; with the toppling of Saddam’s regime, this
stability is as elusive as the former leader.
For
example, while US forces have eliminated much institutionalized
political repression in Iraq, in practice, political repression
still takes place. Due to the general lawlessness of the
country, publishing or airing an unpopular view could result in
death from a plethora of militant groups formed after Saddam’s
fall. But even more worrying than the political repression is
the physical repression that is the result of the failure of US
authorities to institute law and order. In addition to the
danger of becoming caught in the middle of an exchange of
gunfire, there is also the general danger of being mugged, raped
or murdered. Under Saddam, such instances were rare; now,
however, they are commonplace as the Iraqi police are largely
dysfunctional and just as corrupt as they were under Saddam.
Unfortunately,
the continued anarchy affecting Iraqi society could cause a
serious catastrophe. The anarchy in Iraq may be deepening the
rift between the different ethnic groups within the country.
Already,
in the ensuing anarchy after the fall of Saddam, a series of
revenge killings took place, as the Shiite majority hunted down
and killed former members of Saddam’s traditionally Sunni
ruling party. As the Shiite majority recognizes their strength
in numbers and attempts to gain more power in Iraqi society, the
minority Sunnis will not react kindly to disenfranchisement.
There
is also northern Iraq and the strong Kurdish population residing
there. The Kurds have their own form of government and their own
military forces and will not allow themselves to become
subservient to a government in Baghdad that does not represent
their interests and ambitions.
Therefore,
the dangers in failing to pacify Iraq are immense. For
Washington, failure to pacify will mean the end of its goal of
stabilizing Iraq in order to foster an Iraqi government that
supports US interests in the region. For Iraqis and the region
as a whole, an exit of US forces from Iraq without another party
filling the power vacuum will fuel disagreement and violence
between Iraq’s heterogeneous society and possibly result in
the fragmentation of Iraq’s current territorial integrity.
Erich
Marquardt is an analyst with the Power and Interest News
Report (PINR) located on the web at http://www.pinr.com.