The
family has changed more rapidly during the past 50 years in richer
countries than at any time in recorded history. These changes
include a sharp decline in birth rates, a sharply increased labor
force participation rate of married women, a large increase in
divorce rates, a huge expansion of expenditures on the education of
children, and a big increase in the fraction of elderly parents who
live separately from their children.
Some
of these changes in families have been induced by permanent
alterations in the economy that are unlikely to be reversed. Among
the most important alterations are the growing education of women
and the shift of economies toward the service sector and away from
manufacturing, and the importance of education of children that
shifted families away from having many children and toward having
fewer children with more human capita! invested in them. Also
important are the higher earnings and financial independence of
women, and the increased financial independence of the elderly.
In
addition, however, unwise public policies that can and should be
reversed have induced some of the changes in the family. These
include welfare laws that encourage family dissolution and births to
unmarried women, and changes in divorce laws that penalize women and
also encourage divorce. No less significant is the neglect by the
national income accounts of the contributions of women who stay home
to raise their children, combined with subsidies to married women
who work rather than raise their children at home. Also relevant is
the pay as you go social security systems that encourage lower birth
rates. My paper will discuss these and related issues.